NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	103		Excitement	4.5 [905]		MVP	Jumaine Jones (CLE): +8.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Comeback	1.2 [861]		LVP	Dajuan Wagner (CLE): -16.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Voskuhl	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.01	0.07	9	74%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	64%	0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	10	41%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Randy Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	13	46%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	12	49%	-0.03	0	0.00	15	73%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	10	64%	0.04	5	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Scott Williams	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	15	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	65%	0.04	4	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	10	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.05	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	7	45%	-0.03	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.02	-0.04	6	0%	-0.10	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	-0.04	16	41%	-0.05	4	-0.07	5	40%	-0.05
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.19	-0.00	-0.03	11	31%	-0.07	5	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.8	29.2	15.6	27.1	1.6	30.5	133.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +24.9%

PHX +14.8%

CLE -17.8%

PHX +24.7%

PHX +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CLE	NBA	PHX	CLE	NBA
this game	15.7	15.7	15.5	113.2	91.3	101.6
season	15.0	15.1		101.1	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.9		104.3	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.1	16.2	17.2	15.8	15.7
CLE	13.1	17.3	14.1	19.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	72	73	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.11	18	1	17	15.1	18.1	-2.98	16.7	11.9	4.76
Casey Jacobsen	51	51	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.12	17	2	15	16.3	15.1	1.15	16.5	14.8	1.71
Stephon Marbury	60	61	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.04	13	6	7	15.1	17.0	-1.90	15.4	16.4	-0.99
Jake Voskuhl	36	35	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	6	7	15.6	15.9	-0.27	13.5	17.1	-3.67
Anfernee Hardaway	58	57	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	13	-7	15.1	17.0	-1.92	14.7	17.4	-2.70
Joe Johnson	63	65	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	7	5	15.4	16.6	-1.19	16.1	14.9	1.19
Randy Brown	23	24	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	14	-9	18.7	14.7	3.95	15.8	15.7	0.09
Bo Outlaw	38	39	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	12	-5	18.0	14.1	3.91	17.1	14.7	2.39
Scott Williams	36	37	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	19	-19	14.7	16.4	-1.65	14.5	16.6	-2.08
Dan Langhi	18	18	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.08	4	15	-11	16.2	15.6	0.59	16.6	15.5	1.10

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	27	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-17	15	17.4	15.0	2.32	16.7	15.4	1.34
Chris Mihm	14	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-14	9	14.3	16.0	-1.70	18.6	15.2	3.42
Tyrone Hill	50	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-19	19	14.7	17.0	-2.25	14.8	16.9	-2.11
Darius Miles	52	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	-9	-1	15.0	16.7	-1.67	14.6	17.4	-2.78
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	48	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	-9	-1	14.9	16.6	-1.74	14.1	17.6	-3.48
Smush Parker	13	13	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.13	-12	-7	-5	14.2	16.0	-1.74	16.7	15.6	1.10
Milt Palacio	29	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-13	7	17.8	14.8	2.96	18.1	14.6	3.51
Jumaine Jones	47	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	-9	-1	17.4	14.0	3.47	17.5	14.1	3.40
Dajuan Wagner	65	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.01	-10	-9	-1	14.4	19.0	-4.58	14.6	18.6	-3.99
Carlos Boozer	42	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.20	-19	0	-19	17.0	14.7	2.25	16.9	14.8	2.11
Ricky Davis	73	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-8	-3	16.0	14.6	1.45	15.6	16.2	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 103, CLE 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
NJN 120, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.23,0.14,0.12,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
CHI 95, CLE 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%