NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	120		Excitement	3.4 [1067]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): +10.3%
Indiana Pacers	96		Comeback	1.2 [385]		LVP	Jalen Rose (IND): -6.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.02	15	62%	0.12	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	15	66%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Johnny Newman	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.18	0.00	0.12	12	82%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Sherman Douglas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	8	39%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Evan Eschmeyer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Soumaila Samake	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	19	46%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	16	62%	0.09	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	79%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zan Tabak	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	11	59%	-0.01	2	-0.01	7	86%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	50%	-0.04	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	20	37%	-0.05	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	28.0	16.6	26.5	2.5	25.5	127.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +46.7%

IND -3.9%

NJN +4.7%

NJN +1.8%

NJN +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	IND	NBA	NJN	IND	NBA
this game	15.3	14.6	15.5	126.3	98.0	100.9
season	15.5	15.9		97.8	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.1		99.9	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.3	15.4	16.6	14.9	15.3
IND	16.3	15.2	14.1	12.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	73	74	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.23	24	0	24	15.5	14.4	1.18	15.4	12.0	3.47
Kenyon Martin	68	70	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.07	13	11	2	16.1	13.2	2.87	15.3	12.7	2.61
Stephon Marbury	74	77	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.11	18	6	12	15.4	15.0	0.35	15.1	12.5	2.62
Aaron Williams	60	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.14	18	6	12	15.7	14.6	1.11	14.2	15.2	-1.02
Lucious Harris	73	77	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.07	8	16	-8	15.5	14.5	0.95	15.2	12.3	2.92
Johnny Newman	55	57	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.28	19	5	14	15.4	15.1	0.30	13.2	16.5	-3.36
Evan Eschmeyer	25	28	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	22	-20	15.9	15.0	0.88	17.0	13.6	3.39
Sherman Douglas	21	21	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.09	6	18	-12	15.0	15.4	-0.35	12.5	15.1	-2.62
Stephen Jackson	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	20	-16	9.1	15.8	-6.71	9.4	15.0	-5.67
Vladimir Stepania	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	20	-16	9.1	15.8	-6.71	9.4	15.0	-5.67
Soumaila Samake	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	20	-16	11.2	15.8	-4.55	9.7	15.1	-5.41

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Perkins	5	5	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-26	28	15.8	14.5	1.28	18.4	15.1	3.30
Bruno Sundov	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-21	18	9.2	15.2	-5.99	11.2	15.8	-4.55
Jonathan Bender	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-21	18	9.2	15.2	-5.99	12.0	15.7	-3.70
Zan Tabak	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-22	20	16.0	14.4	1.56	15.1	15.3	-0.18
Al Harrington	14	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-19	14	16.5	14.3	2.24	15.5	15.2	0.27
Jermaine O'Neal	34	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	-14	4	14.4	14.7	-0.22	15.8	15.0	0.81
Austin Croshere	47	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-14	4	13.7	15.4	-1.69	16.4	14.3	2.06
Derrick McKey	44	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.10	-14	-10	-4	14.7	14.5	0.22	14.8	15.7	-0.92
Jeff Foster	70	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.21	-19	-5	-14	14.5	14.9	-0.44	14.6	17.2	-2.59
Travis Best	74	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	-7	-10	15.3	12.5	2.81	15.4	14.8	0.59
Reggie Miller	81	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	-9	-6	15.1	12.1	2.98	16.2	11.1	5.06
Jalen Rose	92	88	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.24	-24	0	-24	14.8	11.5	3.28	15.1	17.7	-2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.23,0.14,0.12,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 103, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
LAC 112, CHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
DEN 111, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%