NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	112		Excitement	3.7 [1064]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +12.7%
Chicago Bulls	95		Comeback	1.1 [895]		LVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): -7.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.00	-0.02	11	69%	0.14	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.03	6	108%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.02	11	65%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.01	0.04	18	60%	0.10	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Hedo Turkoglu	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	14	58%	0.07	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	5	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04
Willie Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	14	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	9	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	18	47%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Cartier Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erik Murphy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.04	17	61%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	15	28%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	3.0	30.0	17.5	30.5	2.6	27.3	134.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +55.7%

LAC +0.5%

CHI -8.3%

CHI -1.0%

LAC +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHI	NBA	LAC	CHI	NBA
this game	15.8	18.3	15.1	133.3	111.8	105.2
season	14.3	16.3		111.0	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.4		99.6	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.5	15.5	15.5	19.0	15.8
CHI	19.3	18.8	17.1	17.9	18.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	78	77	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.06	19	-2	21	15.7	16.7	-0.92	17.9	21.7	-3.85
JJ Redick	59	59	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	-2	21	15.6	16.3	-0.67	18.4	18.0	0.43
Blake Griffin	67	66	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.02	15	2	13	15.7	16.4	-0.76	18.1	18.8	-0.75
Darren Collison	52	51	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.12	15	2	13	15.2	16.7	-1.47	18.2	18.4	-0.16
Jamal Crawford	45	47	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	9	-1	17.3	14.1	3.19	17.4	19.3	-1.82
Jared Dudley	32	34	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.08	6	11	-5	16.1	15.6	0.51	18.2	18.3	-0.09
Matt Barnes	43	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	9	-1	14.5	17.2	-2.71	18.7	17.8	0.85
Hedo Turkoglu	17	19	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	15	-13	16.4	15.7	0.76	18.8	18.1	0.75
Willie Green	10	9	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	16	-15	16.9	15.7	1.24	19.1	18.2	0.95
Reggie Bullock	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	17.0	15.8	1.20	19.0	18.2	0.75
Ryan Hollins	6	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	16.7	15.7	0.92	21.7	17.9	3.85
Darius Morris	10	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.12	-6	23	-29	16.7	15.7	1.01	19.0	18.1	0.86

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	10	10	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-22	27	21.4	17.8	3.56	17.7	15.6	2.15
Erik Murphy	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	19.0	18.2	0.75	17.0	15.8	1.20
Cartier Martin	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-14	11	16.3	18.4	-2.07	20.2	15.5	4.69
Mike James	28	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-13	9	19.6	17.6	1.96	18.7	14.4	4.30
Tony Snell	35	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-8	-1	19.0	17.8	1.21	17.2	14.8	2.40
Mike Dunleavy	55	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	-2	-13	18.1	18.5	-0.42	14.5	18.3	-3.77
Taj Gibson	46	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.06	-14	-3	-11	17.9	18.7	-0.80	16.9	14.6	2.26
Carlos Boozer	54	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-6	-5	17.5	19.6	-2.08	14.4	18.3	-3.93
Jimmy Butler	74	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	-10	3	18.2	18.7	-0.54	15.8	16.1	-0.32
Joakim Noah	59	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-3	-11	18.7	17.3	1.43	16.0	15.4	0.55
D.J. Augustin	57	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.02	-13	-4	-9	17.6	19.6	-1.96	14.4	18.7	-4.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 107, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
NJN 120, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.23,0.14,0.12,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
DET 115, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%