NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	115		Excitement	3.6 [1084]		MVP	Tristan Thompson (CLE): +8.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Comeback	1.2 [660]		LVP	Andrew Bynum (CLE): -19.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.02	0.03	18	64%	0.12	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	10	50%	0.06	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Jennings	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	11	70%	0.08	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Rodney Stuckey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	16	42%	0.05	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.01	0.05	10	64%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	6	29%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Singler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	9	56%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Harrellson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gigi Datome	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	13	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	10	59%	0.08	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.03
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	14	66%	0.07	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Carrick Felix	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.12	0.00	0.12	7	87%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	6	0%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	10	30%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.04	3	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	9	30%	-0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Bynum	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.21	-0.00	-0.03	11	0%	-0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.0	29.2	15.5	26.2	1.4	25.3	123.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +52.5%

CLE -3.2%

CLE -1.4%

DET +2.7%

CLE -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	15.1	117.3	95.8	105.2
season	15.0	15.2		104.7	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.0		106.5	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.1	13.6	15.7	16.8	14.8
CLE	15.7	17.1	13.1	13.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	57	57	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.29	26	-3	29	15.6	13.6	2.01	16.3	12.8	3.52
Josh Smith	63	61	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.12	19	4	15	14.6	15.1	-0.52	14.7	15.2	-0.45
Brandon Jennings	66	66	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.35	26	-3	29	14.6	15.3	-0.71	14.4	16.0	-1.67
Andre Drummond	67	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.16	19	4	15	14.7	15.1	-0.47	14.5	15.8	-1.32
Kyle Singler	53	52	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.32	24	-1	25	14.6	15.0	-0.36	16.1	13.4	2.73
Greg Monroe	64	63	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	21	-19	15.1	14.2	0.96	14.8	15.0	-0.17
Chauncey Billups	32	30	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.17	-3	26	-29	15.3	14.6	0.71	16.0	14.4	1.67
Gigi Datome	35	35	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.06	4	19	-15	15.1	14.6	0.52	15.2	14.7	0.45
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	41	39	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	26	-29	13.6	15.6	-2.01	12.8	16.3	-3.52
Josh Harrellson	12	9	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	22	-21	14.6	14.8	-0.25	11.0	15.3	-4.29

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alonzo Gee	29	29	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.15	7	-30	37	12.6	15.9	-3.29	16.0	14.3	1.74
Carrick Felix	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-24	25	11.2	15.4	-4.25	16.0	14.6	1.38
Sergey Karasev	15	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-26	29	11.5	15.5	-4.05	17.6	14.2	3.44
Tyler Zeller	26	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-26	29	13.6	15.4	-1.74	16.8	14.0	2.77
CJ Miles	42	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.17	3	-26	29	13.5	15.9	-2.42	15.2	14.5	0.64
Earl Clark	30	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.26	-16	-7	-9	17.5	13.7	3.80	12.4	15.8	-3.35
Andrew Bynum	46	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-15	7	15.3	14.5	0.72	14.7	14.9	-0.20
Anderson Varejao	38	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.32	-20	-3	-17	17.2	13.3	3.89	13.1	15.8	-2.64
Anthony Bennett	33	33	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.33	-22	-1	-21	14.3	15.2	-0.84	14.0	15.2	-1.17
Kyrie Irving	61	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.18	-17	-6	-11	14.9	14.9	-0.09	14.2	15.8	-1.53
Matthew Dellavedova	51	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	-11	-1	15.6	14.0	1.58	15.0	14.6	0.34
Tristan Thompson	58	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-11	-1	14.4	15.6	-1.10	15.5	13.8	1.70
Jarrett Jack	39	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.33	-25	2	-27	16.8	13.6	3.26	14.2	15.2	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 93, DET 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
CHA 91, GSW 75	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
DAL 95, UTA 83	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.0%