NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	91		Excitement	3.7 [1073]		MVP	Al Jefferson (CHA): +13.6%
Golden State Warriors	75		Comeback	1.2 [216]		LVP	David Lee (GSW): -13.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.02	-0.06	22	56%	0.15	2	-0.02	10	60%	-0.04
Anthony Tolliver	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	4	137%	0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	8	56%	0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	58%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	17	47%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Cody Zeller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	35%	-0.02	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	11	32%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	42%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	5	20%	-0.00	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	21%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0.03	13	46%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	8	37%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	0.05	18	47%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	13	29%	-0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.6	31.3	15.4	27.6	1.8	26.2	126.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +54.5%

GSW -4.5%

GSW -6.8%

CHA +7.4%

GSW -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	GSW	NBA	CHA	GSW	NBA
this game	15.8	14.5	15.1	94.8	79.8	105.2
season	15.7	14.2		102.4	105.9
opponent	15.3	15.1		102.0	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.2	13.1	16.9	18.2	15.8
GSW	15.4	15.2	15.8	11.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	79	77	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	0	16	15.9	15.3	0.62	14.1	16.2	-2.12
Kemba Walker	67	66	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.01	15	1	14	15.8	15.8	0.06	14.6	14.3	0.25
Gerald Henderson	74	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.17	7	9	-2	16.0	15.0	0.98	14.4	14.8	-0.43
Cody Zeller	36	36	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.13	16	0	16	15.1	16.2	-1.11	15.3	14.0	1.31
Ramon Sessions	57	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	3	10	15.5	16.2	-0.72	14.6	14.4	0.16
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	46	44	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	9	-2	15.2	16.4	-1.16	15.7	13.5	2.18
Anthony Tolliver	44	44	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	10	-4	16.4	15.3	1.12	13.3	15.5	-2.22
Josh McRoberts	60	58	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	16	-16	16.2	15.1	1.11	14.0	15.3	-1.31
Bismack Biyombo	17	17	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	16	-16	15.3	15.9	-0.62	16.2	14.1	2.12

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	8.7	14.7	-6.03	18.7	15.7	3.08
MarShon Brooks	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	8.7	14.7	-6.03	18.7	15.7	3.08
Draymond Green	25	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-18	20	13.0	15.0	-1.99	17.1	15.4	1.71
Marreese Speights	18	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-15	14	13.9	14.6	-0.69	14.2	16.2	-2.02
Jordan Crawford	33	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-13	10	13.6	15.0	-1.33	15.9	15.8	0.12
Jermaine O'Neal	33	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-12	8	15.6	13.9	1.66	14.3	16.6	-2.24
Klay Thompson	66	67	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-10	4	14.5	14.4	0.10	16.4	14.4	1.99
Harrison Barnes	46	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-8	0	14.8	14.2	0.68	14.5	17.0	-2.50
David Lee	45	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.11	-16	0	-16	15.0	14.0	0.96	15.8	15.8	0.01
Andre Iguodala	67	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	-2	-12	14.8	13.7	1.07	15.8	15.8	0.05
Andrew Bogut	58	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	0	-16	14.2	15.0	-0.86	16.5	14.6	1.86
Stephen Curry	73	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.06	-18	2	-20	14.9	13.0	1.99	15.8	15.8	0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 108, GSW 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
CHI 93, ATL 73	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
TOR 106, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%