NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	107		Excitement	4.1 [983]		MVP	Robert Horry (LAL): +10.4%
New York Knicks	91		Comeback	1.1 [1144]		LVP	Mark Jackson (NYK): -7.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.01	0.04	13	77%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.02	9	78%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	18	64%	0.10	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	22	56%	0.09	3	-0.04	10	60%	-0.01
Mark Madsen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Rick Fox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	12	63%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	8	69%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lavor Postell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	19	49%	0.03	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.02
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	21	47%	-0.01	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.02	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	30.4	19.3	25.4	2.6	27.6	132.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +26.8%

LAL +0.4%

LAL +6.4%

LAL +13.5%

LAL +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NYK	NBA	LAL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.0	15.7	15.6	116.3	101.1	102.3
season	15.3	15.9		106.9	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.4		103.9	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.0	15.3	17.5	15.2	16.0
NYK	15.3	15.4	14.6	17.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	80	80	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.07	18	-2	20	16.0	15.9	0.06	15.9	14.0	1.89
Robert Horry	63	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.12	18	-2	20	16.7	14.3	2.47	16.1	14.6	1.50
Shaquille O'Neal	72	71	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.17	6	10	-4	15.8	16.6	-0.81	14.9	18.7	-3.81
Rick Fox	59	58	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	3	10	16.4	15.2	1.13	15.1	16.8	-1.76
Derek Fisher	51	49	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	6	4	15.2	16.9	-1.73	16.3	14.9	1.47
Lindsey Hunter	41	41	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	10	-4	16.9	15.2	1.73	14.9	16.3	-1.47
Devean George	30	27	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	8	0	15.8	16.1	-0.30	18.3	14.6	3.74
Slava Medvedenko	17	17	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	10	-4	16.5	15.9	0.62	18.8	15.0	3.81
Mark Madsen	29	27	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	18	-20	14.3	16.7	-2.47	14.6	16.1	-1.50
Brian Shaw	18	17	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	19	-22	15.2	16.2	-1.00	12.9	16.3	-3.37

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavor Postell	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-12	8	18.0	15.6	2.37	17.3	15.9	1.41
Shandon Anderson	25	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.12	-9	-7	-2	15.1	15.9	-0.77	14.5	16.6	-2.11
Othella Harrington	27	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-12	8	17.0	15.1	1.89	16.2	15.8	0.40
Charlie Ward	39	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-9	2	16.0	15.5	0.52	15.5	16.3	-0.78
Felton Spencer	19	17	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-8	0	16.8	15.4	1.41	16.6	15.8	0.83
Clar. Weatherspoon	50	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-11	6	15.1	16.4	-1.34	16.6	15.2	1.38
Mark Jackson	51	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	-7	-2	15.5	16.0	-0.52	16.3	15.5	0.78
Kurt Thomas	74	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-6	-4	15.4	16.7	-1.30	15.8	16.9	-1.15
Latrell Sprewell	77	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.08	-12	-4	-8	15.9	14.3	1.60	16.1	15.4	0.68
Allan Houston	86	88	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.08	-12	-4	-8	15.5	20.2	-4.78	15.9	18.0	-2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 112, CHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
BKN 103, NYK 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.28,0.18,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
ATL 116, CHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.19,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%