NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	116		Excitement	3.4 [1129]		MVP	Jason Terry (ATL): +11.8%
Chicago Bulls	101		Comeback	1.2 [472]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -9.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	16	66%	0.12	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Bob Sura	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.01	-0.05	7	75%	0.09	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	27	60%	0.09	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Travis Hansen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mamadou N'diaye	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	21	45%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collier	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	52%	0.01	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	15	53%	0.04	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	11	64%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Jefferies	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	89%	0.01	2	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	10	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	7	56%	0.00	4	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	0.09	21	64%	0.01	7	-0.11	3	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.6	24.4	15.4	24.6	2.6	28.2	120.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +23.3%

ATL +8.3%

ATL +1.0%

ATL +16.6%

ATL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.1	14.3	15.7	118.4	103.1	100.5
season	15.3	15.2		98.2	94.6
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.3	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.6	14.6	14.3	16.6	15.1
CHI	17.3	15.4	16.4	9.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Crawford	82	83	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.10	21	-6	27	15.0	15.9	-0.97	14.2	14.7	-0.47
Bob Sura	79	80	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.04	19	-4	23	14.9	16.2	-1.28	14.6	12.7	1.96
Stephen Jackson	84	84	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.01	14	1	13	15.1	15.3	-0.19	14.2	14.9	-0.77
Jason Terry	83	85	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.15	18	-3	21	14.7	17.3	-2.53	14.5	12.6	1.90
Jason Collier	49	51	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.21	18	-3	21	14.4	15.9	-1.47	14.5	14.0	0.51
Mamadou N'diaye	37	35	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.00	8	7	1	14.9	15.2	-0.28	16.0	13.3	2.65
Wesley Person	19	19	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	13	-11	15.3	15.1	0.17	15.7	13.9	1.83
Travis Hansen	26	23	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.27	-6	21	-27	16.8	14.5	2.24	12.0	14.9	-2.90
Michael Bradley	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	17.1	15.0	2.18	5.5	14.8	-9.34
Boris Diaw	24	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.43	-17	32	-49	17.2	14.4	2.76	13.0	14.7	-1.73

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Jefferies	33	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-21	27	10.0	16.4	-6.43	15.7	14.8	0.85
Jerome Williams	13	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-11	7	16.6	13.9	2.71	14.5	15.2	-0.73
Jannero Pargo	58	59	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-20	25	12.3	17.1	-4.79	15.3	14.9	0.33
Ronald Dupree	57	58	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.33	6	-21	27	12.7	16.5	-3.78	15.7	14.3	1.31
Linton Johnson	73	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-4	-7	13.5	16.6	-3.19	15.1	15.2	-0.04
Jamal Crawford	40	39	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.22	-20	5	-25	17.1	12.3	4.79	14.9	15.3	-0.33
Antonio Davis	63	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.19	-20	5	-25	16.2	10.7	5.52	14.4	16.2	-1.80
Eddy Curry	55	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.17	-22	7	-29	16.7	11.1	5.61	15.1	15.1	0.05
Kirk Hinrich	98	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	0	-15	14.3	0.0	14.27	15.1	0.0	15.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.19,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 119, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
LAL 107, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
BKN 103, NYK 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.28,0.18,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%