NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	95		Excitement	4.1 [1018]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +17.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	85		Comeback	1.1 [973]		LVP	Anderson Varejao (CLE): -16.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0.18	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.03	0.09	-0.05	7	69%	0.18	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.01	-0.06	15	61%	0.16	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	13	43%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Luol Deng	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.02	0.07	13	71%	0.12	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	37%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	45%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.04	7	62%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	8	70%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	9	55%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.01	0.05	8	59%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Samardo Samuels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	12	38%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	10	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Pargo	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	0.00	12	32%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	-0.01	16	31%	-0.10	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	25.5	15.5	28.5	1.7	33.7	129.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +48.0%

CHI +12.5%

CLE -2.2%

CLE -4.6%

CLE -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	15.5	15.4	106.7	92.4	104.1
season	16.6	15.5		101.7	102.5
opponent	15.2	15.2		107.7	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.5	16.6	16.4	15.7	16.3
CLE	14.8	15.4	17.8	14.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	75	78	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.07	18	-8	26	16.2	16.6	-0.33	15.2	17.7	-2.56
Luol Deng	80	82	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.27	7	3	4	15.6	22.2	-6.60	15.5	15.8	-0.29
Joakim Noah	82	85	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.15	11	-1	12	16.3	15.9	0.47	15.7	14.1	1.52
Kirk Hinrich	66	68	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	0	10	16.2	16.5	-0.31	14.7	17.8	-3.10
Taj Gibson	29	31	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.01	10	0	10	15.9	16.5	-0.54	16.5	15.1	1.42
Carlos Boozer	60	61	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.22	0	10	-10	16.5	15.9	0.54	15.1	16.5	-1.42
Nate Robinson	23	24	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.13	0	10	-10	16.5	16.2	0.31	17.8	14.7	3.10
Nazr Mohammed	7	7	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	11	-12	15.9	16.3	-0.47	14.1	15.7	-1.52
Jimmy Butler	23	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	15	-20	18.8	15.4	3.36	16.9	15.1	1.86

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samardo Samuels	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-17	24	6.9	16.3	-9.40	19.3	16.1	3.26
CJ Miles	34	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.20	3	-13	16	13.9	16.5	-2.63	13.7	17.8	-4.17
Donald Sloan	47	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-12	14	15.5	15.6	-0.15	15.8	16.8	-0.94
Omri Casspi	35	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.28	2	-12	14	14.7	16.1	-1.34	16.6	16.1	0.50
Tyler Zeller	49	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-9	8	14.9	16.2	-1.29	16.4	16.2	0.16
Alonzo Gee	57	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.07	-12	2	-14	16.1	14.7	1.34	16.1	16.6	-0.50
Tristan Thompson	60	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	1	-12	16.8	13.1	3.71	16.1	16.7	-0.56
Daniel Gibson	51	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	4	-18	16.1	14.9	1.20	17.1	15.2	1.93
Jeremy Pargo	52	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	1	-12	16.2	14.7	1.45	17.6	14.6	2.99
Anderson Varejao	68	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.06	-15	5	-20	15.7	15.0	0.74	16.1	16.8	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 103, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
DET 93, PHI 75	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.8%
NYK 116, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.29,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%