NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	103		Excitement	3.8 [840]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +21.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	87		Comeback	1.2 [656]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -10.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.18	0.06	0.03	16	78%	0.25	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	14	64%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	10	70%	0.08	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	5	91%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	5	69%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	11	35%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	15	23%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	125%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	16	59%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	14	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Manny Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	22	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	8	39%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Samardo Samuels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	4	43%	-0.01	5	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	26.3	15.7	26.3	2.5	27.2	122.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +48.9%

CLE -4.3%

CLE -7.6%

ATL +9.5%

ATL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	16.7	14.8	15.6	114.4	93.5	102.8
season	15.7	15.5		102.5	99.5
opponent	15.6	15.9		107.1	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.3	16.1	17.4	18.4	16.7
CLE	15.3	13.4	14.7	15.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	73	76	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.17	10	6	4	17.1	15.1	2.01	15.2	12.6	2.59
Jeff Teague	67	68	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	6	4	16.7	16.7	0.01	15.3	13.4	1.86
Tracy McGrady	49	50	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	2	12	17.1	16.3	0.83	14.0	15.7	-1.74
Joe Johnson	64	67	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	5	6	16.7	16.9	-0.20	15.1	13.8	1.33
Kirk Hinrich	68	72	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	5	6	16.7	16.8	-0.10	15.4	12.6	2.77
Josh Smith	56	58	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	4	8	15.6	18.6	-3.01	14.9	14.5	0.40
Ivan Johnson	45	46	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	6	4	17.6	15.9	1.62	14.1	15.4	-1.34
Jerry Stackhouse	19	19	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.03	2	14	-12	16.3	16.9	-0.54	12.5	15.3	-2.81
Jason Collins	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	16.7	16.7	-0.08	12.5	14.9	-2.42
Erick Dampier	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	15.0	16.8	-1.80	7.7	15.0	-7.33

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manny Harris	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	7.7	15.0	-7.33	15.0	16.8	-1.80
Donald Sloan	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	7.7	15.0	-7.33	15.0	16.8	-1.80
Samardo Samuels	46	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-13	10	13.3	16.2	-2.84	16.8	16.7	0.19
Omri Casspi	27	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-9	2	13.6	15.3	-1.70	16.6	16.8	-0.24
Kyrie Irving	69	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-10	4	15.2	13.5	1.76	16.9	16.2	0.67
Alonzo Gee	66	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	-7	-2	15.3	13.6	1.70	16.8	16.6	0.24
Anthony Parker	65	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-4	-8	14.3	15.9	-1.67	17.3	15.5	1.80
Daniel Gibson	46	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-2	-12	15.7	13.8	1.89	16.0	17.5	-1.55
Antawn Jamison	73	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-4	-8	15.4	12.5	2.88	16.8	16.7	0.06
Tristan Thompson	67	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.03	-17	1	-18	15.1	14.0	1.11	16.7	17.0	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 103, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
ATL 112, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
CHH 112, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%