NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	101		Excitement	4.1 [967]		MVP	Leon Powe (BOS): +18.0%
Charlotte Bobcats	78		Comeback	1.1 [535]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -15.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leon Powe	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.02	-0.01	8	76%	0.20	1	-0.02	13	92%	0.05
Eddie House	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.00	-0.04	14	55%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Posey	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.03	13	68%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	10	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Glen Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04
Brian Scalabrine	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	9	36%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	10	30%	-0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.00	9	68%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermareo Davidson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	13	57%	0.04	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.04
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	12	33%	-0.04	3	-0.05	3	0%	-0.04
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.03	-0.04	15	35%	-0.04	5	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	29.0	15.4	27.3	2.5	26.6	126.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +10.1%

BOS +17.0%

BOS +19.8%

BOS +2.7%

BOS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHA	NBA	BOS	CHA	NBA
this game	15.8	15.3	15.4	109.8	83.9	105.7
season	15.6	15.8		108.0	103.1
opponent	15.1	15.9		107.8	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.0	14.9	18.5	16.4	15.8
CHA	14.8	14.5	15.0	17.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	49	50	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.07	19	4	15	15.2	16.6	-1.40	15.5	15.0	0.47
Leon Powe	56	56	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.07	18	5	13	15.9	15.7	0.23	14.9	15.9	-1.03
Kendrick Perkins	46	46	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.07	17	6	11	15.5	16.2	-0.67	15.7	14.9	0.82
James Posey	58	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	12	-1	15.8	15.9	-0.17	14.9	16.0	-1.11
Tony Allen	43	42	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.14	16	7	9	14.5	17.0	-2.49	16.2	14.5	1.67
Eddie House	54	55	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.09	9	14	-5	16.9	14.4	2.46	14.7	16.2	-1.45
Brian Scalabrine	34	32	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.24	12	11	1	15.9	15.8	0.17	16.0	14.9	1.11
Glen Davis	45	45	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.14	8	15	-7	16.0	15.7	0.28	15.4	15.2	0.11
P.J. Brown	37	39	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.08	3	20	-17	15.9	15.8	0.18	15.3	15.3	0.06
Sam Cassell	38	39	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	21	-19	16.7	15.2	1.53	14.9	15.6	-0.74

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-21	19	18.8	14.9	3.85	18.6	15.5	3.01
Nazr Mohammed	32	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-20	17	15.6	15.2	0.40	17.1	15.2	1.90
Ryan Hollins	14	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-16	9	16.9	15.0	1.83	17.3	15.6	1.71
Earl Boykins	63	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	-13	3	15.4	15.1	0.30	16.2	15.1	1.14
Jared Dudley	65	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-11	-1	14.5	17.1	-2.53	16.1	15.3	0.82
Emeka Okafor	61	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.18	-16	-7	-9	15.6	14.7	0.94	15.2	17.2	-1.95
Jermareo Davidson	27	29	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.27	-19	-4	-15	16.7	14.7	2.03	15.3	16.1	-0.72
Matt Carroll	50	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-10	-3	14.2	16.5	-2.29	15.2	16.7	-1.53
Raymond Felton	78	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	-9	-5	15.1	16.3	-1.15	15.9	15.5	0.41
Jason Richardson	66	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	-4	-15	15.2	15.6	-0.46	15.2	17.2	-2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 113, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
NJN 113, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
SAS 99, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%