NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	99		Excitement	3.7 [1030]		MVP	Derek Anderson (SAS): +9.1%
Utah Jazz	86		Comeback	1.1 [422]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -15.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.00	11	73%	0.12	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.04
David Robinson	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	4	91%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Tim Duncan	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	18	58%	0.05	0	0.00	21	52%	-0.06
Terry Porter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	12	59%	0.04	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.03	8	62%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Dial	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	2	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Malik Rose	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	4	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	7	43%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	18	45%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	5	20%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	6	71%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	58%	-0.00	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	5	36%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.02	0.03	15	46%	-0.11	3	-0.05	11	82%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.6	38.4	19.7	25.4	1.8	29.6	146.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +38.3%

SAS +9.8%

UTA -1.3%

SAS +3.6%

UTA -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	16.5	17.4	15.5	115.1	102.4	100.9
season	15.9	16.0		103.4	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		100.5	96.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.6	13.9	18.9	19.4	16.5
UTA	19.7	15.5	19.0	15.6	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	73	72	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.05	20	-7	27	16.7	15.6	1.08	18.1	13.1	4.99
Tim Duncan	76	75	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.06	20	-7	27	16.9	13.5	3.43	18.1	11.1	7.00
Malik Rose	48	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	-2	17	14.4	19.3	-4.89	18.7	15.7	3.05
Steve Kerr	63	60	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	8	-3	16.1	17.8	-1.70	16.3	20.1	-3.82
Terry Porter	68	65	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	5	3	16.9	15.3	1.59	17.9	15.5	2.43
Danny Ferry	45	44	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.07	6	7	-1	18.9	14.0	4.89	17.3	17.4	-0.18
David Robinson	27	28	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.00	7	6	1	16.8	16.4	0.41	18.8	16.6	2.20
Derrick Dial	14	14	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	14	-15	15.2	16.8	-1.58	12.6	18.3	-5.74
Shawnelle Scott	5	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.16	-6	19	-25	14.4	16.7	-2.27	9.0	17.9	-8.89
Jaren Jackson	11	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.20	-9	22	-31	15.1	16.7	-1.66	11.0	18.3	-7.32

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-19	25	10.4	17.8	-7.40	15.5	16.6	-1.11
John Crotty	10	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.21	6	-19	25	13.8	17.8	-4.04	11.5	17.3	-5.83
Scott Padgett	19	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-13	13	15.3	18.0	-2.71	14.9	17.0	-2.01
Greg Ostertag	22	23	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-14	15	17.1	17.4	-0.30	15.3	17.0	-1.62
Jacque Vaughn	36	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.04	-2	-11	9	17.1	17.5	-0.38	15.6	17.2	-1.64
Olden Polynice	22	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-2	-9	20.9	16.1	4.75	17.3	16.3	0.99
Danny Manning	29	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-14	15	14.8	18.7	-3.92	14.1	17.9	-3.81
Bryon Russell	56	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-6	-1	16.7	18.7	-2.04	17.3	15.0	2.26
Donyell Marshall	51	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.13	-13	0	-13	18.6	15.4	3.23	17.7	14.7	3.07
John Stockton	49	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-1	-11	17.7	16.9	0.86	18.5	13.9	4.60
John Starks	53	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	3	-19	18.2	15.9	2.36	16.2	17.1	-0.88
Karl Malone	68	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.04	-18	5	-23	17.8	15.5	2.29	16.9	15.1	1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 128, DEN 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.39,0.29,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
HOU 118, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
SAS 78, POR 66	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%