NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	5.1 [797]		MVP	Devean George (LAL): +8.4%
Sacramento Kings	99		Comeback	1.0 [582]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (SAC): -17.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devean George	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	90%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	12	62%	0.07	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Rick Fox	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	90%	0.07	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	21	54%	0.06	4	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	11	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	26	51%	0.02	5	-0.09	7	86%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	11	59%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	10	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	25	56%	0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.04	0.06	15	62%	0.01	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	21	40%	-0.09	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-0.00	-0.02	8	0%	-0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	466.9	3.3	29.5	22.4	30.6	3.3	45.3	601.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +34.9%

SAC -7.6%

LAL +6.9%

LAL +9.4%

LAL +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.7	12.6	15.6	105.0	96.1	102.3
season	15.3	14.2		106.9	106.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		99.6	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.4	15.8	17.7	16.0	15.7
SAC	13.2	13.6	12.6	11.1	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	90	90	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-7	21	15.4	17.5	-2.02	12.5	13.5	-1.06
Rick Fox	83	83	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.14	13	-6	19	15.2	17.6	-2.38	12.5	13.2	-0.73
Derek Fisher	79	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-7	21	15.3	16.9	-1.61	12.6	12.8	-0.22
Kobe Bryant	93	96	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	0	7	15.6	16.6	-1.06	12.5	13.6	-1.03
Robert Horry	88	89	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	7	-7	15.8	14.5	1.28	12.6	12.7	-0.12
Devean George	23	26	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	7	-7	16.2	15.5	0.67	12.8	12.6	0.21
Brian Shaw	8	7	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	7	-7	16.6	15.6	1.06	13.6	12.5	1.03
Lindsey Hunter	22	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.19	-7	14	-21	16.9	15.3	1.61	12.8	12.6	0.22
Samaki Walker	19	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.13	-6	13	-19	17.2	15.3	1.85	13.6	12.4	1.27

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	9	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-9	11	13.4	12.5	0.91	17.5	15.5	2.05
Scot Pollard	34	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-9	11	12.9	12.5	0.45	16.7	15.2	1.56
Bobby Jackson	52	52	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.34	3	-10	13	12.1	13.2	-1.12	15.7	15.6	0.16
Chris Webber	92	91	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-4	1	12.7	12.0	0.68	15.8	14.2	1.61
Hedo Turkoglu	66	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	7	-21	12.7	12.5	0.15	14.9	16.9	-1.98
Vlade Divac	74	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.20	-7	0	-7	12.5	12.9	-0.44	15.3	16.6	-1.28
Mike Bibby	97	94	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	2	-11	12.6	12.5	0.12	15.5	18.3	-2.83
Doug Christie	91	90	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	2	-11	12.7	11.8	0.88	15.9	13.8	2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 96, SAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.28,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0,0	95.7%
PHX 102, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.09,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.09,0	95.7%
PHX 124, PHI 113	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0	95.3%