NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	93		Excitement	7.9 [262]		MVP	Dee Brown (TOR): +64.0%
Toronto Raptors	95		Comeback	17.2 [102]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (WAS): -13.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.00	0.14	-0.01	6	64%	0.19	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Rod Strickland	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.12	-0.00	0.13	0.01	14	53%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Michael Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	3	79%	0.05	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Gerard King	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	10	52%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Whitney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,0.03,-0.07	-0.11	0.01	-0.02	18	39%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jahidi White	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Mitch Richmond	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	17	47%	-0.09	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.64	0.64	0.05	0.60	0.01	6	67%	0.64	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.01	5	70%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	12	46%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Muggsy Bogues	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	7	65%	-0.01	1	-0.01	9	78%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	-0.01	15	60%	0.09	3	-0.13	5	60%	-0.04
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.10	-0.03	20	48%	-0.08	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.4	29.5	16.4	24.3	2.0	38.0	140.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +48.7%

WAS -2.4%

WAS -7.7%

TOR +6.7%

TOR +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	16.4	16.2	15.2	104.5	108.0	101.7
season	15.5	15.5		101.1	101.8
opponent	14.9	14.8		102.1	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.8	14.8	18.0	17.2	16.4
TOR	13.5	15.8	16.3	19.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy Murray	28	28	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.29	-2	0	-2	17.9	15.7	2.26	19.1	14.8	4.32
Rod Strickland	67	67	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.08	1	-3	4	16.9	14.9	2.02	15.6	18.0	-2.48
Richard Hamilton	26	25	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-2	2	15.8	16.6	-0.81	17.3	15.7	1.62
Jahidi White	24	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	0	-2	14.4	17.1	-2.75	16.1	16.2	-0.04
Ike Austin	13	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	1	-4	16.7	16.3	0.36	14.5	16.4	-1.92
Gerard King	9	10	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	4	-10	16.0	16.4	-0.43	16.2	16.2	0.05
Chris Whitney	11	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	6	-14	15.5	16.5	-1.06	16.4	16.1	0.30
Reggie Jordan	11	9	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.58	5	-7	12	14.3	16.7	-2.41	20.2	15.7	4.53
Juwan Howard	71	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.53	3	-5	8	16.3	16.6	-0.22	15.4	19.2	-3.74
Mitch Richmond	72	73	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.56	2	-4	6	16.1	17.5	-1.35	15.6	18.9	-3.26
Michael Smith	76	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.48	-1	-1	0	16.6	15.0	1.62	15.5	19.5	-4.07
Aaron Williams	37	37	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.61	1	-3	4	17.0	15.9	1.06	17.5	15.2	2.38

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dee Brown	30	31	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.65	6	-4	10	15.7	16.4	-0.65	16.9	16.1	0.85
Tracy McGrady	60	61	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.42	7	-5	12	16.1	16.2	-0.13	16.9	15.2	1.76
Vince Carter	74	75	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.48	1	1	0	16.0	17.2	-1.25	16.3	16.6	-0.22
Dell Curry	26	26	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.54	-4	6	-10	17.7	15.5	2.18	15.0	17.0	-2.01
Charles Oakley	55	57	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.45	-1	3	-4	16.8	15.0	1.81	17.2	15.0	2.16
Doug Christie	37	36	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	-5	12	13.9	17.8	-3.96	14.9	17.4	-2.55
Kevin Willis	47	47	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.09	6	-4	10	16.0	16.3	-0.34	15.3	17.6	-2.25
John Thomas	1	0	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	2	-2	2.0	16.3	-14.32	0.0	16.4	-16.38
Alvin Williams	15	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.14	-8	10	-18	18.1	15.8	2.38	16.3	16.4	-0.06
Antonio Davis	69	70	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.06	-2	4	-6	16.1	16.3	-0.20	16.8	14.8	1.96
Muggsy Bogues	26	27	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.32	-2	4	-6	17.4	15.6	1.79	17.1	16.0	1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.06,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.28,0.15,0.42,1	91.6%
LAC 102, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.21,0.24,0.17,1	91.1%
TOR 87, SEA 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.66,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.15,0.26,1	90.8%