NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	87		Excitement	9.0 [145]		MVP	Antonio Daniels (SEA): +43.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	88		Comeback	9.2 [191]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -41.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.19,0.19	0.04	0.15	0.00	9	56%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.01	8	57%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	0.03
Milt Palacio	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	14	59%	0.06	5	-0.17	4	25%	-0.04
Jalen Rose	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	12	33%	-0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22	-0.06	-0.17	-0.00	15	47%	-0.02	3	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.41	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.41	-0.07	-0.35	-0.01	17	39%	-0.39	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.43	0.43	0.08	0.36	0.01	12	67%	0.52	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	-0.02	0.00	19	69%	0.22	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	59%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.09	0.00	20	37%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	5	-0.20	4	75%	-0.05
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	11	21%	-0.16	2	-0.11	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	25.2	15.8	24.2	1.7	37.0	131.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +83.7%

TOR -7.3%

SEA +8.6%

TOR -33.0%

TOR -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	SEA	NBA	TOR	SEA	NBA
this game	14.9	17.6	15.5	98.9	98.9	104.0
season	15.1	16.5		104.8	109.5
opponent	15.6	15.4		107.9	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.7	15.4	14.8	16.2	14.9
SEA	15.1	20.6	15.8	19.6	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamond Murray	20	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	2	-5	16.6	14.5	2.14	18.3	17.4	0.86
Vince Carter	58	59	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.59	16	-17	33	15.1	14.6	0.52	18.0	16.8	1.13
Jerome Moiso	9	8	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	5	-11	15.4	14.9	0.56	21.0	17.2	3.75
Loren Woods	32	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	4	-9	14.7	15.1	-0.45	15.9	18.6	-2.71
Milt Palacio	14	14	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	6	-13	14.8	15.0	-0.19	18.8	17.4	1.43
Matt Bonner	51	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.50	8	-9	17	15.4	14.4	1.02	18.2	16.8	1.37
Rafer Alston	74	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.48	6	-7	13	15.0	14.8	0.19	17.4	18.8	-1.43
Jalen Rose	44	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	11	-23	14.5	15.4	-0.84	16.5	18.6	-2.14
Chris Bosh	84	85	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.47	1	-2	3	14.7	19.2	-4.51	17.6	17.7	-0.17
Morris Peterson	54	56	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	2	-5	14.5	15.7	-1.19	17.8	17.2	0.59

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	60	58	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.52	5	-4	9	17.5	17.8	-0.31	15.4	14.0	1.48
Reggie Evans	70	68	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.37	10	-9	19	18.2	15.2	3.08	15.1	14.5	0.51
Luke Ridnour	62	61	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.51	4	-3	7	16.7	19.6	-2.88	14.3	16.4	-2.17
Rashard Lewis	79	76	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-5	11	17.2	20.8	-3.62	15.1	14.2	0.90
Antonio Daniels	46	44	0.23	0.28	-0.05	0.49	-9	10	-19	18.4	16.7	1.63	15.7	14.1	1.61
Ray Allen	69	71	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.07	5	-4	9	18.0	16.2	1.72	14.9	15.1	-0.14
Jerome James	24	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.05	-1	2	-3	16.3	18.1	-1.77	13.7	15.4	-1.71
Nick Collison	16	17	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	7	-13	21.4	16.8	4.62	14.9	15.0	-0.08
Danny Fortson	19	20	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.10	-9	10	-19	15.2	18.2	-3.08	14.5	15.1	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.66,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.15,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 102, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.21,0.24,0.17,1	91.3%
WAS 96, ORL 99	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.27,0.4,0.54,0.45,0.58,1	90.9%
WAS 93, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.06,0.28,1	90.8%