NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	8.5 [182]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +76.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	7.0 [241]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -15.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.50	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.5	0.20	0.30	-0.00	23	68%	0.54	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.12
Meyers Leonard	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.10	0.01	6	75%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dorell Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.01	8	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.08	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	10	52%	0.06	2	-0.15	1	0%	-0.01
Damian Lillard	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	19	33%	-0.13	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.55,0.76	0.76	0.31	0.43	-0.03	36	67%	0.88	3	-0.12	10	100%	0.07
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.14	0.14	0.00	0.14	-0.00	9	50%	0.16	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.05
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	46%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	7	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	15	31%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.7	26.8	15.5	23.2	2.4	39.1	133.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +17.8%

CLE +7.1%

CLE +37.6%

POR -12.3%

POR -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CLE	NBA	POR	CLE	NBA
this game	16.2	17.9	15.1	111.9	116.5	104.2
season	15.3	15.9		106.5	108.7
opponent	14.9	15.0		104.1	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.6	17.1	16.9	17.7	16.2
CLE	17.0	15.6	19.1	20.2	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	21	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-3	1	17.1	15.9	1.17	18.7	17.5	1.15
Dorell Wright	1	1	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-3	1	2.0	16.4	-14.39	0.0	18.1	-18.07
Thomas Robinson	9	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-3	1	16.8	16.1	0.63	15.7	18.1	-2.45
CJ McCollum	10	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-2	-1	14.9	16.4	-1.49	17.4	17.9	-0.57
Meyers Leonard	36	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.12	1	-6	7	17.5	15.2	2.25	18.4	17.4	0.92
Will Barton	26	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-4	3	18.3	15.3	3.03	16.8	18.3	-1.57
Chris Kaman	51	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-4	3	15.6	17.1	-1.49	18.6	16.9	1.68
Nicolas Batum	68	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-5	5	16.1	16.5	-0.35	18.1	16.9	1.23
Damian Lillard	67	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-5	5	16.0	17.2	-1.21	18.1	16.9	1.17
LaMarcus Aldridge	71	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.37	-6	1	-7	16.1	16.8	-0.66	17.6	19.2	-1.53
Wesley Matthews	60	62	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.31	-9	4	-13	15.6	17.8	-2.27	17.5	18.7	-1.21

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrie Irving	71	67	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.40	12	-7	19	17.7	18.9	-1.20	15.9	17.6	-1.72
Timofey Mozgov	64	63	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.34	12	-7	19	17.1	20.0	-2.91	15.7	17.8	-2.13
J.R. Smith	67	68	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.36	7	-2	9	18.2	16.6	1.58	16.3	15.9	0.42
Matthew Dellavedova	32	35	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.37	1	4	-3	18.6	17.4	1.18	16.4	16.1	0.37
Kevin Love	68	69	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.35	-5	10	-15	18.5	15.2	3.28	16.6	14.3	2.37
Shawn Marion	19	19	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.07	5	0	5	17.0	18.1	-1.11	13.4	17.0	-3.61
Tristan Thompson	37	35	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	4	-3	18.4	17.5	0.92	16.7	15.8	0.91
Mike Miller	18	18	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	6	-7	16.1	18.3	-2.29	17.9	15.8	2.13
Iman Shumpert	49	46	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.01	-7	12	-19	17.8	17.9	-0.05	16.6	15.7	0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.28,0.15,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 104, BKN 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.42,1	93.2%
GSW 95, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.7,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.29,0.15,0.26,1	92.7%
DAL 95, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.71,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.46,0.32,0.36,0.1,0.58,1	92.6%