inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 104 Excitement10.3 [59] MVPJoe Johnson (BKN): +82.0%
Brooklyn Nets 105 Comeback11.7 [94] LVPEmmanuel Mudiay (DEN): -20.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenneth Faried0.490,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.490.120.37-0.001665%0.4900.002100%0.02
Randy Foye0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.010.08-0.011150%0.181-0.0700%0.00
Will Barton0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.030.07-0.00764%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Gary Harris0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.040.09-0.040.011271%0.081-0.0400%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.2,0.15,0.040.12-0.060.031662%0.071-0.04786%0.02
Joffrey Lauvergne0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.002100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Mike Miller-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.040.01940%-0.051-0.042100%0.01
Nikola Jokic-0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.030.00520%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.13-0.09-0.021032%-0.104-0.11250%-0.01

Brooklyn Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.820.820.020.810.011060%0.872-0.0500%0.00
Brook Lopez0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.17,0.170.170.000.170.001157%0.263-0.08667%-0.05
Bojan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.090.060.00871%0.1500.001100%0.00
Thaddeus Young0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.040.021562%0.153-0.092100%0.01
Donald Sloan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.000.00862%0.0500.0000%0.00
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.00437%0.0100.0000%0.00
Markel Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.04-0.040.10-0.140.001073%0.172-0.21683%0.01
Shane Larkin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.04-0.00764%0.133-0.1800%0.00
Chris McCullough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.06-0.00333%-0.041-0.0500%0.00
Thomas Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.05-0.00520%-0.071-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.32.329.914.826.32.434.4132.4
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BKN +96.8%
DEN -1.6%
DEN -18.1%
DEN -32.5%
BKN +5.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENBKNNBADENBKNNBA
this game14.315.714.9107.2110.5105.1
season14.915.0104.3101.9
opponent14.814.9109.3107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.113.812.216.714.3
BKN16.213.917.615.315.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Emmanuel Mudiay72720.25-0.751.000.37-43-714.214.8-0.6315.616.0-0.36
Jusuf Nurkic36320.13-0.630.75-0.149-101914.014.5-0.4817.115.02.17
Will Barton4040-0.04-0.460.420.08-43-715.513.51.9516.015.50.55
Mike Miller1112-0.22-0.280.060.07-109-1917.114.03.1114.715.8-1.16
Joffrey Lauvergne1011-0.22-0.280.050.07-109-1917.214.03.2013.915.9-2.01
Kenneth Faried6160-0.23-0.270.03-0.478-91713.116.5-3.4115.416.1-0.64
Gary Harris8178-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.559-101914.115.6-1.4815.616.1-0.46
Danilo Gallinari8481-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.569-101914.116.0-1.9315.914.61.31
Randy Foye6161-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.42-21-315.312.72.6414.917.1-2.14
Nikola Jokic2928-1.100.60-1.69-0.80-109-1913.514.7-1.1616.815.21.56

Brooklyn Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brook Lopez59630.86-0.361.220.773-2516.614.22.3114.014.9-0.90
Joe Johnson57590.58-0.080.670.503-2516.414.71.7114.314.4-0.19
Thaddeus Young73760.56-0.060.610.473-2516.014.51.5414.115.0-0.86
Shane Larkin46440.50-0.000.510.442-1314.516.8-2.2515.613.32.27
Markel Brown49480.440.060.390.4401-114.616.9-2.3415.113.51.62
Bojan Bogdanovic46500.200.30-0.090.036-51115.216.1-0.9113.615.1-1.55
Donald Sloan4953-0.000.50-0.510.03-12-316.814.52.2513.315.6-2.27
Chris McCullough2221-0.060.56-0.610.00-23-514.516.0-1.5415.014.10.86
Wayne Ellington3837-0.230.73-0.96-0.02-78-1516.715.01.6714.414.30.12
Thomas Robinson3634-0.360.86-1.22-0.30-23-514.216.6-2.3114.914.00.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 94, CLE 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.28,0.15,0.42,193.2%
ORL 79, SAS 810.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.69,0.68,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.43,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.58,191.4%
DET 89, NOH 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.33,0.25,0.46,0.32,0.42,191.2%