inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 89 Excitement9.7 [83] MVPGeorge Lynch (NOH): +17.3%
New Orleans Hornets 93 Comeback3.0 [411] LVPRichard Hamilton (DET): -25.4%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chucky Atkins0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.03-0.02387%0.131-0.052100%0.01
Jon Barry0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08-0.000.08-0.00362%0.101-0.022100%0.01
Zeljko Rebraca0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.00375%0.0300.002100%0.01
Michael Curry0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Corliss Williamson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.12,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03-0.080.03-0.021658%0.217-0.23475%-0.00
Mehmet Okur-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.030.01631%-0.031-0.02475%0.07
Chauncey Billups-0.090,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.01-0.070.011353%-0.052-0.04475%-0.00
Clifford Robinson-0.160,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16-0.05-0.100.011342%-0.102-0.0600%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.250,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.25,-0.25-0.03-0.220.011453%-0.063-0.192100%0.01

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
George Lynch0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.170.170.020.160.011254%0.1700.0040%-0.11
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.08,0.080.08-0.030.11-0.001068%0.275-0.18887%0.06
Jerome Moiso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.04-0.00475%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Courtney Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.03-0.00856%0.0600.002100%0.02
Jamal Mashburn0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.31,-0.31,-0.05-0.05-0.090.080.032241%0.012-0.05580%0.02
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.070.002100%0.042-0.1200%0.00
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.03-0.00714%-0.111-0.0200%0.00
David Wesley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.05-0.10-0.001035%-0.1600.00367%-0.00
Kenny Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.19-0.19-0.04-0.15-0.00850%-0.122-0.07250%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.02.427.114.827.22.737.7137.9
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +16.0%
DET -5.8%
NOH +15.2%
NOH +19.4%
NOH +5.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETNOHNBADETNOHNBA
this game16.215.615.598.9102.2101.6
season16.815.9101.7101.6
opponent15.615.699.697.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET17.216.214.616.716.2
NOH14.116.515.416.815.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jon Barry25270.32-0.821.150.127-111815.016.6-1.6917.414.92.55
Chucky Atkins30300.27-0.771.040.125-91415.416.6-1.1716.415.31.12
Corliss Williamson56580.21-0.710.920.123-71016.515.70.7615.915.20.68
Zeljko Rebraca3839-0.03-0.470.44-0.061-5615.316.8-1.4916.215.21.02
Mehmet Okur6165-0.07-0.430.36-0.163-71016.116.3-0.2015.416.4-1.03
Clifford Robinson7069-0.610.11-0.71-0.43-62-816.116.5-0.4115.416.3-0.82
Richard Hamilton6564-0.820.32-1.15-0.50-117-1816.615.01.6914.917.4-2.55
Chauncey Billups6161-0.870.37-1.23-0.54-117-1816.315.90.3615.316.4-1.12
Michael Curry4442-0.910.41-1.33-0.59-117-1817.215.21.9215.515.7-0.19

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenny Anderson42441.02-0.521.550.5815-112616.614.81.7616.016.3-0.30
George Lynch77770.59-0.090.680.397-31015.516.4-0.8416.116.7-0.60
Jamal Mashburn74740.430.070.360.3431215.416.7-1.3016.216.10.06
Jamaal Magloire69670.350.150.200.3213-215.715.50.2616.116.5-0.40
David Wesley60590.270.230.040.30-15-615.416.1-0.7316.815.01.85
Courtney Alexander30310.230.27-0.040.1140415.715.60.0814.816.9-2.14
Jerome Moiso27260.060.44-0.370.0313-216.515.31.1816.815.90.89
Stacey Augmon4543-0.030.53-0.55-0.0304-414.716.6-1.9416.515.90.59
Robert Traylor3129-0.430.93-1.36-0.14-1014-2416.315.30.9216.016.2-0.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.33,0.25,0.46,0.32,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 104, BKN 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.42,191.2%
DET 88, NYK 920.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.73,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.75,0.68,0.77,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.47,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.74,190.6%
BOS 101, NYK 1040.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.34,0.42,190.4%