NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	101		Excitement	9.0 [114]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (NYK): +46.6%
New York Knicks	104		Comeback	2.7 [285]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -22.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Davis	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	6	71%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Michael Finley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	5	80%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	12	58%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.06	0.08	-0.02	7	40%	0.11	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.06	0.01	9	85%	0.11	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	56%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Kendrick Perkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.11	-0.00	8	78%	0.08	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Rasheed Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	7	44%	0.02	1	-0.08	2	0%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.23	-0.06	-0.18	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	4	-0.27	6	83%	-0.06

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.47	0.47	0.17	0.29	-0.01	15	76%	0.55	3	-0.08	11	91%	0.10
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.08,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	10	67%	0.14	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.02	16	38%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
J.R. Giddens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	0.01	14	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Earl Barron	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.04	-0.15	0.00	13	63%	-0.05	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Henry Walker	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19	-0.19	-0.05	-0.13	0.01	10	38%	-0.17	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	29.0	16.4	31.3	2.4	35.3	142.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -48.7%

NYK +21.5%

NYK +31.8%

NYK +42.5%

NYK +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	13.8	16.7	15.3	106.3	110.6	106.0
season	15.5	14.7		105.7	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		109.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.8	13.7	14.5	12.3	13.8
NYK	15.9	16.3	14.9	19.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	34	32	0.50	-1.00	1.50	0.12	13	-16	29	11.9	14.9	-2.94	17.7	16.1	1.65
Rasheed Wallace	39	39	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.02	9	-12	21	12.2	15.0	-2.80	18.1	15.7	2.42
Nate Robinson	26	27	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.06	8	-11	19	12.4	14.4	-1.94	17.9	16.2	1.67
Tony Allen	34	34	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-6	9	12.9	14.4	-1.52	16.8	16.6	0.21
Glen Davis	37	38	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-5	7	12.9	14.4	-1.58	16.6	16.7	-0.05
Kevin Garnett	58	56	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	2	-7	14.4	12.9	1.58	16.7	16.6	0.05
Paul Pierce	59	59	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.35	-10	7	-17	14.3	13.1	1.20	16.7	16.5	0.19
Rajon Rondo	69	67	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.35	-11	8	-19	14.4	12.4	1.94	16.2	17.9	-1.67
Kendrick Perkins	55	55	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.39	-12	9	-21	15.2	11.9	3.29	15.7	18.1	-2.42
Ray Allen	64	63	-0.91	0.41	-1.31	-0.55	-12	9	-21	14.7	11.9	2.81	16.0	18.1	-2.10

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	65	67	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.50	17	-14	31	16.1	17.9	-1.84	14.2	12.9	1.38
Chris Duhon	65	67	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.50	17	-14	31	16.1	17.9	-1.84	14.2	12.9	1.38
David Lee	73	74	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.42	13	-10	23	16.4	17.6	-1.17	14.5	11.5	3.02
Earl Barron	87	88	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.37	5	-2	7	16.6	17.0	-0.37	14.0	12.1	1.82
Henry Walker	53	55	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.36	-5	8	-13	17.6	15.5	2.08	14.0	13.6	0.40
Toney Douglas	61	59	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.10	-2	5	-7	16.6	16.8	-0.15	12.9	15.3	-2.33
J.R. Giddens	31	30	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.07	-12	15	-27	17.3	16.3	0.99	11.9	14.7	-2.82
Sergio Rodriguez	35	35	-0.60	1.10	-1.70	-0.07	-18	21	-39	17.5	16.2	1.36	13.4	14.1	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.34,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, SEA 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.54,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.25,0.22,0.32,0.42,1	92.4%
SEA 77, SAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.61,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.28,1	91.2%
MIL 98, CLE 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.41,0.53,0.32,0.21,0.23,0.16,1	91.2%