NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	77		Excitement	7.8 [283]		MVP	Brent Barry (SEA): +16.2%
San Antonio Spurs	79		Comeback	11.6 [162]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -20.8%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16	0.03	0.14	-0.00	10	60%	0.22	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chuck Person	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	13	60%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Horace Grant	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	9	15%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shammond Williams	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.18	-0.02	-0.17	-0.01	9	40%	-0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Payton	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.21	-0.09	-0.11	0.01	20	41%	-0.12	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	2	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Steve Kerr	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.01	19	50%	0.06	2	-0.10	6	67%	-0.02
Mario Elie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.2,-0.14,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.05	0.02	16	47%	0.04	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.10
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	-0.01	7	43%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	8	37%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	8	28%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.7	31.2	17.4	26.5	2.5	34.3	141.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +47.8%

SEA -14.7%

SAS +16.7%

SAS +0.7%

SEA -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAS	NBA	SEA	SAS	NBA
this game	16.1	15.5	15.2	84.6	86.8	101.7
season	14.9	15.5		103.5	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.4		95.9	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	18.5	12.7	17.7	16.0	16.1
SAS	16.6	17.3	13.6	14.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Stepania	9	9	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-5	8	13.0	16.5	-3.48	13.0	15.8	-2.79
Ruben Patterson	44	42	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-1	0	16.6	15.7	0.93	16.4	14.8	1.65
Jelani McCoy	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	0	-2	13.7	16.4	-2.74	18.0	15.2	2.76
Rashard Lewis	17	17	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	2	-6	17.1	15.9	1.14	14.1	15.9	-1.79
Emanual Davis	7	7	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	4	-10	19.1	15.9	3.26	9.9	16.0	-6.13
Chuck Person	16	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.19	-2	0	-2	13.3	16.7	-3.42	14.7	15.7	-0.99
Brent Barry	76	76	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.43	6	-8	14	16.0	16.7	-0.64	15.5	15.4	0.14
Shammond Williams	48	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.30	1	-3	4	14.6	17.9	-3.32	14.7	16.4	-1.67
Horace Grant	65	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-2	2	17.2	13.3	3.90	16.1	13.9	2.26
Vin Baker	73	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.40	-3	1	-4	16.8	13.4	3.35	16.0	13.6	2.45
Gary Payton	91	91	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	16.1	0.0	16.13	15.5	0.0	15.52

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson	49	46	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	-3	8	15.1	16.0	-0.81	16.2	16.1	0.04
Tim Duncan	65	67	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.46	4	-2	6	15.2	16.4	-1.22	17.2	13.0	4.20
Avery Johnson	62	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.44	-2	4	-6	15.0	16.5	-1.47	17.3	13.2	4.17
Jerome Kersey	38	40	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	-6	14	15.6	15.5	0.15	18.3	14.5	3.82
Malik Rose	40	39	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	-2	6	16.0	15.1	0.91	14.2	17.6	-3.46
David Robinson	74	74	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.29	-1	3	-4	15.9	13.9	1.94	16.4	14.8	1.68
Terry Porter	53	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.40	-6	8	-14	15.5	15.6	-0.15	14.5	18.3	-3.82
Mario Elie	35	38	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	-1	4	15.9	15.3	0.65	16.4	15.9	0.54
Steve Kerr	2	2	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	3	-4	10.5	15.6	-5.13	6.0	16.4	-10.36
Antonio Daniels	37	33	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.15	-4	6	-10	16.0	15.2	0.86	13.4	17.7	-4.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.61,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 101, NYK 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.34,0.42,1	91.2%
BOS 103, TOR 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.55,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.21,0.23,0.42,1	90.8%
PHX 98, HOU 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.48,0.54,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.53,0.38,0.29,0.45,0.27,1	90.4%