NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	98		Excitement	9.9 [67]		MVP	Luis Scola (PHX): +21.2%
Houston Rockets	101		Comeback	5.7 [423]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (PHX): -27.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0.21	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.21	0.09	0.12	-0.00	20	62%	0.33	3	-0.12	5	80%	-0.03
Marcus Morris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	8	69%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	10	55%	0.09	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	10	62%	0.07	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
Wesley Johnson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	8	47%	0.01	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
PJ Tucker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Kendall Marshall	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.27	-0.09	-0.18	-0.00	12	22%	-0.27	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,0.17	0.17	-0.04	0.23	0.01	21	59%	0.48	9	-0.31	14	93%	0.07
Jeremy Lin	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,0.13	0.13	-0.06	0.17	-0.02	14	42%	0.19	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.08
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	8	61%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.02	7	71%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09	-0.09	0.05	-0.13	0.01	13	58%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	9	40%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	34.8	14.6	22.6	2.3	41.0	143.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +25.1%

HOU +14.9%

HOU +3.9%

PHX -1.1%

HOU +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	15.4	101.0	105.2	104.1
season	15.2	14.2		99.7	107.9
opponent	15.4	15.1		105.0	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.9	13.6	15.2	15.0	14.9
HOU	13.5	16.5	12.5	17.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Marshall	46	45	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.11	5	-8	13	14.8	15.0	-0.21	16.3	13.7	2.60
Marcus Morris	46	44	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.11	5	-8	13	14.8	15.0	-0.21	16.2	13.8	2.44
Markieff Morris	61	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	2	-7	15.0	14.8	0.17	13.2	17.8	-4.59
Wesley Johnson	29	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	8	-19	14.9	15.0	-0.11	12.1	16.1	-4.02
Jared Dudley	48	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.39	2	-5	7	15.1	14.8	0.37	16.8	13.1	3.73
Goran Dragic	77	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-4	5	14.9	14.9	-0.01	14.3	17.7	-3.47
Luis Scola	79	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-2	1	14.7	16.1	-1.37	15.1	14.0	1.14
Jermaine O'Neal	48	50	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	0	-3	15.2	14.6	0.62	16.2	13.5	2.74
PJ Tucker	51	52	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.30	-8	5	-13	15.0	14.8	0.21	13.8	16.2	-2.44

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	78	79	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.42	12	-9	21	14.4	17.2	-2.85	15.1	14.3	0.81
Francisco Garcia	74	74	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	-6	15	14.0	18.0	-3.95	15.0	14.8	0.20
Patrick Beverley	39	39	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.58	-3	6	-9	17.3	13.3	4.04	14.7	15.1	-0.45
Jeremy Lin	76	79	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.44	2	1	1	14.4	16.6	-2.20	14.8	15.7	-0.96
James Harden	89	88	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.40	2	1	1	14.8	16.7	-1.95	15.2	12.6	2.63
Greg Smith	59	59	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	-2	7	12.7	18.5	-5.78	15.1	14.7	0.37
James Anderson	11	13	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	1	1	16.9	14.6	2.26	14.1	15.1	-0.99
Donatas Motiejunas	12	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	7	-11	18.7	14.4	4.30	13.7	15.1	-1.36
Terrence Jones	43	43	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.06	-10	13	-23	17.9	12.5	5.39	15.1	14.8	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.48,0.54,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.53,0.38,0.29,0.45,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 101, NYK 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.34,0.42,1	91.2%
SEA 77, SAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.61,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.28,1	90.4%
CLE 90, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.45,0.55,0.23,0.41,1	90.1%