NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Excitement	8.7 [133]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +13.9%
Indiana Pacers	91		Comeback	3.9 [408]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -41.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.13,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.01	12	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0	0.09	-0.08	0.01	16	61%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Chris Mihm	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Kevin Ollie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Ricky Davis	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	11	37%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
J.R. Bremer	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.41	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.41	-0.11	-0.32	-0.02	18	53%	-0.23	7	-0.19	7	86%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	11	68%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	4	58%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.04
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.26,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	19	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	62%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	14	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	17	38%	-0.17	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.6	26.7	15.0	26.4	2.5	34.6	133.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +29.6%

IND +32.0%

CLE -28.3%

IND +10.6%

IND +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	15.2	18.0	15.7	102.3	105.8	100.5
season	15.7	16.7		99.8	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.5		94.7	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.8	15.5	14.8	17.0	15.2
IND	16.3	18.0	18.0	20.0	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mihm	35	35	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.04	7	-8	15	14.9	15.4	-0.52	17.9	18.0	-0.13
Kevin Ollie	24	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-3	5	16.1	14.8	1.31	17.6	18.1	-0.47
J.R. Bremer	21	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-2	3	14.0	15.5	-1.54	15.8	18.5	-2.70
DeSagana Diop	41	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.51	15	-16	31	15.9	14.6	1.32	19.1	16.9	2.21
Darius Miles	69	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.47	3	-4	7	15.3	14.8	0.49	17.9	18.4	-0.56
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	47	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.04	-16	15	-31	14.6	15.9	-1.32	16.9	19.1	-2.21
Ricky Davis	71	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.41	-2	1	-3	15.3	14.6	0.72	18.2	16.9	1.25
LeBron James	80	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.38	-7	6	-13	15.1	16.2	-1.19	18.2	15.7	2.57
Carlos Boozer	52	50	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.43	-8	7	-15	15.2	15.1	0.19	18.4	17.4	0.99

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	67	71	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.40	12	-11	23	18.5	16.2	2.32	15.1	15.5	-0.44
Jermaine O'Neal	69	69	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.47	7	-6	13	17.9	18.1	-0.19	15.7	13.3	2.43
Anthony Johnson	46	50	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.40	3	-2	5	18.9	16.9	2.04	15.8	14.3	1.46
Al Harrington	52	52	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.66	-7	8	-15	18.7	16.8	1.99	15.2	15.1	0.05
Jeff Foster	49	51	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	-4	9	17.7	18.3	-0.63	15.2	15.1	0.11
Kenny Anderson	40	38	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.07	-2	3	-5	16.9	18.9	-2.04	14.3	15.8	-1.46
Reggie Miller	60	60	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	5	-9	17.7	18.7	-0.99	15.1	15.3	-0.22
Austin Croshere	4	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	2	-3	15.5	18.1	-2.59	17.0	15.1	1.92
Fred Jones	22	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	2	-3	16.8	18.4	-1.54	14.0	15.6	-1.67
Scot Pollard	21	21	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.04	-7	8	-15	17.7	18.1	-0.39	14.8	15.3	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.45,0.55,0.23,0.41,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 120, DEN 126	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.83,0.67,0.52,0.74,0.7,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.46,0.43,0.53,1	92.1%
NYK 94, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.47,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.6,0.61,0.48,0.43,0.18,1	90.9%
MIA 76, CHA 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.37,0.22,0.42,1	90.6%