inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 76 Excitement8.4 [189] MVPAl Jefferson (CHA): +8.1%
Charlotte Hornets 78 Comeback4.2 [377] LVPGerald Henderson (CHA): -25.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Granger0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.00350%0.0200.0000%0.00
James Ennis0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.02-0.00840%0.0100.004100%0.03
Udonis Haslem0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00550%-0.0000.002100%0.01
Norris Cole-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.07-0.02-0.040.011050%0.052-0.12667%-0.01
Shawne Williams-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.070.01-0.08-0.00944%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.130,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13-0.05-0.080.002140%-0.091-0.041100%0.00
Chris Bosh-0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.16-0.05-0.12-0.012040%-0.131-0.032100%0.01
Shabazz Napier-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.13-0.05-0.0240%-0.083-0.0800%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.04-0.001155%0.0800.0000%0.00
Kemba Walker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.21,-0.07,0.050.05-0.070.11-0.011737%0.081-0.03683%0.07
Brian Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.020.00283%0.051-0.042100%0.01
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01-0.01-0.030.02-0.01337%0.011-0.02250%-0.06
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.03-0.001052%0.042-0.07367%-0.01
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Cody Zeller0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.01826%-0.0800.00757%-0.05
Lance Stephenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01450%0.014-0.0900%0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.10-0.14-0.01736%-0.123-0.11850%-0.17
Gerald Henderson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26-0.26-0.06-0.180.011339%-0.122-0.132100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.81.829.214.723.22.435.5132.6
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +3.8%
CHA +15.2%
CHA +54.0%
MIA -23.2%
CHA +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACHANBAMIACHANBA
this game17.816.515.190.592.9104.2
season16.015.6102.498.9
opponent15.115.3102.6105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.918.619.418.417.8
CHA17.216.514.917.616.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Norris Cole14140.03-0.530.56-0.032-4618.817.61.2317.116.40.66
Udonis Haslem2624-0.05-0.450.400.04-31-418.117.60.5116.516.5-0.03
Dwyane Wade5858-0.13-0.370.24-0.4511-132418.915.33.6116.117.5-1.36
Danny Granger3535-0.21-0.290.09-0.03-64-1018.017.60.3616.216.8-0.56
Chris Andersen3536-0.21-0.290.08-0.06-53-818.017.60.4115.517.3-1.79
Shabazz Napier3837-0.21-0.290.08-0.06-53-817.418.1-0.7218.115.32.88
Shawne Williams4645-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.404-61017.917.60.2416.816.20.59
James Ennis4949-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.414-61017.618.0-0.3616.816.20.56
Chris Bosh6163-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.450-2217.418.7-1.3516.915.31.59
Mario Chalmers5859-0.690.19-0.88-0.34-1210-2216.720.2-3.5815.818.2-2.44

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cody Zeller57550.68-0.180.850.448-61417.015.61.3717.618.1-0.52
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist53520.66-0.160.810.399-71615.318.6-3.2617.418.4-0.99
Gerald Henderson54510.58-0.080.670.474-2616.416.8-0.3817.318.4-1.09
Kemba Walker60590.58-0.080.660.464-2616.616.20.4418.116.91.26
Marvin Williams34360.450.050.390.50-24-614.118.1-3.9917.717.8-0.07
Lance Stephenson35370.030.47-0.450.06-13-418.315.32.9718.417.31.10
Bismack Biyombo4746-0.010.51-0.53-0.103-1416.316.8-0.4617.917.60.33
Brian Roberts2425-0.080.58-0.66-0.02-24-616.216.6-0.4416.918.1-1.26
Al Jefferson3031-0.110.61-0.710.04-57-1218.715.33.3917.917.70.22
Gary Neal2628-0.270.77-1.03-0.03-810-1816.916.30.5818.417.41.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.37,0.22,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 80, IND 820.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.61,0.37,0.22,0.42,193.7%
HOU 83, UTA 850.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.67,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.78,0.68,0.46,0.32,0.58,191.5%
GSW 95, NJN 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.7,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.29,0.15,0.26,191.4%