NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	80		Excitement	6.8 [421]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +27.7%
Indiana Pacers	82		Comeback	3.5 [362]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -24.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.14	0.12	-0.02	9	82%	0.28	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	9	68%	0.03	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Cedric Henderson	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	9	60%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Carl Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03	0.02	-0.06	0.00	2	75%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	3	25%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.24	-0.03	-0.21	0.00	8	59%	-0.10	3	-0.14	1	0%	-0.03
Shawn Kemp	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.24	-0.19	-0.05	-0.00	16	36%	-0.16	3	-0.08	12	67%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,0.14	0.14	-0.01	0.14	-0.01	15	50%	0.20	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	14	58%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.08
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	8	44%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.08
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	57%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.01	5	110%	0.15	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Mark Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.09	0.01	6	17%	-0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.6	30.6	16.3	21.4	2.6	30.0	126.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +41.3%

IND +4.6%

CLE -1.1%

IND +3.2%

IND +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	16.0	17.2	15.6	94.1	93.2	102.5
season	15.4	16.0		99.4	105.3
opponent	16.1	16.0		99.2	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.5	17.2	15.1	16.3	16.0
IND	16.4	14.1	18.3	20.6	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	34	35	0.49	-0.99	1.48	0.20	10	-12	22	16.7	15.6	1.15	19.2	15.9	3.28
Danny Ferry	25	25	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.10	6	-8	14	16.0	16.1	-0.12	15.2	18.0	-2.78
Carl Thomas	14	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.31	6	-8	14	17.3	15.8	1.48	20.5	16.6	3.89
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	43	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.01	-5	3	-8	15.6	16.5	-0.94	16.5	17.9	-1.36
Bob Sura	22	23	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-1	0	15.3	16.3	-0.98	17.0	17.3	-0.25
Cedric Henderson	55	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	6	-14	15.8	16.4	-0.60	16.2	19.1	-2.89
Vitaly Potapenko	42	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.44	3	-5	8	16.5	15.6	0.94	17.9	16.5	1.36
Wesley Person	78	81	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.42	-3	1	-4	16.0	16.1	-0.10	17.6	13.3	4.28
Shawn Kemp	60	63	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.34	-8	6	-14	16.1	16.0	0.12	18.0	15.2	2.78
Brevin Knight	52	54	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.49	-10	8	-18	15.8	16.4	-0.62	15.7	19.6	-3.85

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	79	76	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.39	8	-6	14	17.3	16.6	0.75	16.3	14.0	2.29
Reggie Miller	71	66	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.38	6	-4	10	17.5	16.2	1.30	15.1	19.2	-4.07
Dale Davis	49	47	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.29	6	-4	10	17.9	16.4	1.51	15.9	16.2	-0.25
Mark Jackson	53	51	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	-1	4	18.4	15.5	2.89	15.4	17.0	-1.54
Chris Mullin	54	52	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	1	0	18.2	15.6	2.58	15.7	16.6	-0.96
Jalen Rose	34	34	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	3	-4	15.8	18.1	-2.29	17.0	15.4	1.54
Travis Best	35	34	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	3	-4	15.5	18.4	-2.89	17.0	15.4	1.54
Derrick McKey	39	38	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	6	-10	17.0	17.4	-0.41	16.7	15.5	1.15
Austin Croshere	14	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	6	-10	17.4	17.2	0.24	18.9	15.4	3.42
Mark Pope	12	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	6	-10	12.5	18.0	-5.47	13.4	16.5	-3.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.61,0.37,0.22,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 76, CHA 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.37,0.22,0.42,1	93.7%
ATL 104, DET 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.75,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	91.5%
UTA 106, OKC 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.81,0.54,0.32,0.16,1	91.1%