NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	104		Excitement	7.7 [331]		MVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): +32.8%
Detroit Pistons	111		Comeback	1.4 [853]		LVP	Andre Drummond (DET): -16.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22	0.02	0.21	-0.00	13	62%	0.29	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.10	0.04	16	63%	0.19	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Luke Babbitt	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	5	92%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	16	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.03	0.03	7	93%	0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Brussino	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Cavanaugh	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	13	31%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	16	50%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.33	0.33	0.08	0.27	0.02	18	56%	0.35	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.05	-0.02	10	77%	0.21	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.07	-0.00	5	42%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Moreland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.05	0.01	11	73%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	15	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	10	70%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	5	36%	-0.01	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	15	44%	0.10	6	-0.27	6	67%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	24.5	14.7	26.7	0.3	36.8	129.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +5.2%

DET +21.4%

DET +36.0%

ATL -11.8%

ATL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	13.9	15.0	14.7	104.0	112.1	107.5
season	14.6	14.9		104.2	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.4		106.3	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.9	13.7	13.3	13.2	13.9
DET	16.8	12.5	15.0	16.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Cavanaugh	4	4	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-7	7	6.2	14.3	-8.01	8.2	15.3	-7.04
John Collins	56	51	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.20	5	-12	17	13.5	14.5	-1.00	16.7	13.2	3.54
Malcolm Delaney	33	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-8	9	13.8	14.0	-0.27	14.4	15.3	-0.97
Isaiah Taylor	33	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-6	5	13.4	14.2	-0.82	13.4	15.8	-2.42
Luke Babbitt	58	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.29	5	-12	17	13.1	15.2	-2.11	14.0	16.5	-2.44
Kent Bazemore	65	64	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-4	1	14.6	12.8	1.75	16.0	13.2	2.76
Dennis Schroder	73	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	3	-13	14.1	13.5	0.58	15.7	13.2	2.51
Taurean Prince	70	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	2	-11	14.2	13.3	0.91	15.4	14.1	1.38
Dewayne Dedmon	44	47	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.10	-13	6	-19	15.7	12.6	3.15	14.1	15.8	-1.68
Marco Belinelli	64	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.19	-10	3	-13	13.7	14.4	-0.74	14.6	15.8	-1.21

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Bradley	71	70	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.19	10	-3	13	15.1	14.8	0.26	14.3	13.2	1.06
Andre Drummond	74	75	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	1	5	15.5	13.4	2.10	14.6	12.0	2.64
Tobias Harris	64	65	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.22	6	1	5	15.5	14.0	1.52	14.3	13.3	0.92
Reggie Jackson	61	61	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	-1	9	15.6	14.1	1.43	14.0	13.9	0.07
Reggie Bullock	59	61	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	4	-1	15.6	14.2	1.40	14.1	13.7	0.41
Luke Kennard	36	35	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	2	3	14.5	15.3	-0.80	13.8	14.0	-0.17
Ish Smith	38	39	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	8	-9	14.1	15.6	-1.43	13.9	14.0	-0.07
Anthony Tolliver	37	37	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	5	-3	13.4	16.0	-2.52	12.9	14.6	-1.71
Eric Moreland	23	23	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	7	-7	14.3	15.2	-0.86	12.6	14.3	-1.73
Langston Galloway	32	34	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.14	-4	11	-15	14.4	15.3	-0.94	13.1	14.4	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.75,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 84, PHX 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.78,0.58,1	92.4%
CLE 80, IND 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.61,0.37,0.22,0.42,1	91.5%
DAL 95, MIL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.43,0.58,1	90.9%