NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	95		Excitement	9.2 [96]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +21.3%
New Jersey Nets	100		Comeback	5.7 [192]		LVP	Bostjan Nachbar (NJN): -29.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andris Biedrins	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.06	0.03	11	67%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kelenna Azubuike	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	5	70%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.07	0.01	14	59%	0.08	1	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	8	37%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	18	43%	-0.05	2	-0.05	13	77%	0.01
Baron Davis	-0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0.07,0.07,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	19	39%	0.01	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	12	37%	-0.06	3	-0.16	6	83%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.11	-0.01	14	66%	0.37	4	-0.16	19	58%	-0.06
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	12	56%	0.13	1	-0.03	10	50%	-0.04
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,0.06	0.06	-0.20	0.21	-0.04	26	43%	0.37	9	-0.31	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.25,-0.2	-0.20	-0.03	-0.18	-0.01	16	44%	-0.03	2	-0.17	2	100%	0.03
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.06	-0.23	-0.00	7	44%	-0.05	3	-0.24	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.2	2.7	36.0	15.4	25.3	1.8	39.2	151.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +52.5%

NJN +4.1%

NJN +32.9%

GSW -38.7%

GSW -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NJN	NBA	GSW	NJN	NBA
this game	14.5	14.9	15.4	96.9	102.0	105.7
season	13.5	15.4		109.8	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.1		107.1	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.4	16.0	15.6	12.3	14.5
NJN	14.4	15.3	15.0	14.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelenna Azubuike	53	51	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.11	5	-10	15	14.2	14.9	-0.70	15.3	14.4	0.83
Mickael Pietrus	9	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-4	3	16.7	14.3	2.35	16.7	14.7	2.06
Matt Barnes	48	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-3	1	13.8	15.2	-1.37	14.3	15.4	-1.06
Al Harrington	72	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.33	0	-5	5	14.4	14.9	-0.53	15.4	13.3	2.10
Andris Biedrins	60	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	2	-9	15.2	13.4	1.86	14.9	14.7	0.20
Stephen Jackson	89	90	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	-1	-3	14.3	16.7	-2.35	14.7	16.7	-2.06
Baron Davis	74	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	5	-15	14.5	14.5	0.04	14.7	15.5	-0.87
Monta Ellis	85	85	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	1	-7	14.7	13.2	1.50	14.6	16.8	-2.20

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	87	89	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-5	15	14.6	16.7	-2.11	14.9	11.3	3.52
Josh Boone	78	78	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.32	7	-2	9	14.9	14.6	0.32	15.3	11.5	3.74
Jason Kidd	79	78	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	1	3	13.9	18.9	-5.01	14.5	14.7	-0.28
Vince Carter	88	88	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.41	-3	8	-11	14.3	19.8	-5.50	14.4	15.3	-0.86
Bostjan Nachbar	49	48	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.23	1	4	-3	14.8	14.9	-0.04	14.2	14.8	-0.63
Malik Allen	40	39	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.11	2	3	-1	17.3	13.2	4.17	14.6	14.5	0.10
Darrell Armstrong	4	3	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	2	1	1.0	15.4	-14.45	6.3	14.8	-8.46
Marcus Williams	19	20	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	4	-3	18.9	13.9	5.01	14.7	14.5	0.28
Sean Williams	24	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	3	-1	15.0	14.8	0.24	13.9	14.7	-0.82
Jason Collins	22	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	7	-9	15.7	14.6	1.06	13.3	14.9	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.7,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.29,0.15,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.28,0.15,0.42,1	92.7%
MIA 76, CHA 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.37,0.22,0.42,1	91.4%
WAS 93, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.06,0.28,1	90.6%