NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	83		Excitement	9.1 [132]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +26.0%
Utah Jazz	85		Comeback	2.1 [744]		LVP	Keith Bogans (HOU): -35.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.04	-0.00	20	61%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	4	82%	0.06	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.43
Rafer Alston	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	19	52%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Yao Ming	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	45%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
David Wesley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	7	47%	0.08	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Rick Brunson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	5	25%	-0.11	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Luther Head	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3,-0.3	-0.15	-0.14	0.01	9	20%	-0.22	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04
Keith Bogans	-0.35	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.35	-0.08	-0.27	0.00	9	33%	-0.30	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.24,0.26	0.26	0.14	0.13	0.01	14	69%	0.28	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.09
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.08	-0.02	14	62%	0.18	3	-0.19	4	100%	0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	10	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.08
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	3	25%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.05	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	6	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	9	54%	0.13	5	-0.32	8	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	26.2	15.8	21.5	1.6	37.5	126.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +51.2%

UTA +28.7%

UTA +10.3%

HOU -51.5%

UTA +11.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	15.5	17.8	15.6	95.4	98.8	104.4
season	16.1	17.0		99.9	101.7
opponent	15.0	16.1		104.6	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.1	17.4	14.9	13.8	15.5
UTA	17.4	18.6	17.8	17.5	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	22	23	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-7	12	14.9	15.7	-0.77	21.5	16.5	5.05
Rick Brunson	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-1	0	17.4	15.4	2.03	15.7	17.9	-2.18
David Wesley	31	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-3	4	16.5	14.9	1.61	20.4	16.3	4.16
Yao Ming	15	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	2	-6	15.3	15.5	-0.26	17.3	17.9	-0.60
Keith Bogans	71	70	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.35	6	-8	14	15.0	17.4	-2.40	17.5	19.4	-1.98
Dikembe Mutombo	34	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	2	-6	16.2	15.0	1.24	18.2	17.6	0.68
Charles Hayes	39	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.42	5	-7	12	14.6	16.2	-1.62	17.2	18.3	-1.10
Rafer Alston	82	82	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	-1	0	15.4	17.4	-2.03	17.9	15.7	2.18
Juwan Howard	65	63	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.38	-7	5	-12	15.7	14.9	0.77	16.5	21.5	-5.05
Luther Head	71	69	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.46	-10	8	-18	15.6	14.7	0.90	17.2	20.2	-3.00

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	73	74	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.50	14	-12	26	17.5	19.8	-2.29	15.5	15.4	0.12
Mehmet Okur	77	76	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.48	9	-7	16	17.9	17.3	0.55	15.7	14.1	1.59
Deron Williams	64	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.46	-2	4	-6	16.5	21.5	-5.00	15.3	16.1	-0.80
Carlos Boozer	66	69	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.32	1	1	0	16.5	22.2	-5.77	15.3	16.1	-0.72
Andrei Kirilenko	65	66	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.37	-5	7	-12	17.4	19.2	-1.81	15.4	15.9	-0.49
Keith McLeod	22	20	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	-2	6	21.5	16.5	5.00	16.1	15.3	0.80
Jarron Collins	29	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	8	-14	20.7	16.4	4.37	15.3	15.6	-0.26
Devin Brown	34	34	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	7	-12	19.4	16.8	2.62	15.7	15.4	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.67,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.78,0.68,0.46,0.32,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 76, CHA 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.37,0.22,0.42,1	91.5%
ATL 99, WAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.81,0.72,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.41,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.33,0.74,1	91.2%
ATL 82, BOS 83	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.45,0.58,1	91.0%