NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	82		Excitement	9.3 [83]		MVP	Milt Palacio (BOS): +10.2%
Boston Celtics	83		Comeback	2.3 [520]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -31.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.12	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.04
Hanno Mottola	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Colson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	55%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Dion Glover	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	11	58%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Roshown McLeod	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	8	41%	0.00	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	9	54%	-0.00	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12	0.00	-0.12	0.01	7	67%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Terry	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.19	0.02	-0.01	13	29%	-0.00	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.00	5	100%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	12	67%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	11	46%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.09	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	15%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.22,-0.18,-0.29,-0.34,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	0.02	19	47%	-0.08	4	-0.12	11	73%	-0.07
Mark Blount	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.27	-0.27	-0.16	-0.13	-0.02	5	0%	-0.20	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.15	-0.16	-0.00	19	26%	-0.31	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	32.4	14.7	24.3	2.6	32.0	130.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -32.4%

ATL -10.4%

ATL -13.9%

BOS +66.0%

BOS +40.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.8	15.8	15.5	86.3	89.2	100.9
season	15.4	15.1		96.0	99.7
opponent	15.4	15.1		101.8	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.0	13.0	14.2	20.9	14.8
BOS	14.2	15.8	14.6	20.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DerMarr Johnson	8	8	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-5	9	12.9	15.0	-2.10	17.5	15.7	1.81
Roshown McLeod	34	34	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.08	-2	1	-3	14.9	14.7	0.17	15.0	16.3	-1.29
Brevin Knight	36	34	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	0	-1	13.1	15.8	-2.67	14.7	16.5	-1.85
Alan Henderson	36	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	0	-1	15.7	14.3	1.40	17.0	15.2	1.84
Hanno Mottola	8	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	3	-7	15.5	14.7	0.76	15.8	15.9	-0.08
Sean Colson	8	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	3	-7	15.5	14.7	0.76	15.8	15.9	-0.08
Lorenzen Wright	71	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.49	2	-3	5	15.2	13.5	1.68	16.0	15.5	0.49
Dikembe Mutombo	75	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.47	1	-2	3	13.9	18.1	-4.24	15.2	18.1	-2.96
Chris Crawford	58	56	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.53	2	-3	5	15.3	14.0	1.27	16.7	14.5	2.17
Jason Terry	83	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.49	0	-1	1	14.9	14.0	0.92	15.8	16.3	-0.48
Dion Glover	58	56	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.53	-2	1	-3	15.3	14.1	1.22	16.1	15.5	0.51

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Brown	72	72	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.48	3	-2	5	15.7	16.2	-0.44	15.3	13.1	2.20
Eric Williams	48	51	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.46	3	-2	5	16.4	15.3	1.13	14.8	14.8	-0.03
Paul Pierce	86	87	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.49	2	-1	3	16.1	12.9	3.24	15.1	11.4	3.74
Antoine Walker	93	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	15.8	0.0	15.85	14.8	0.0	14.80
Mark Blount	36	36	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	1	-1	14.4	16.8	-2.38	14.1	15.3	-1.20
Vitaly Potapenko	56	57	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	-2	5	16.9	14.2	2.71	15.6	13.5	2.12
Walter McCarty	1	2	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	3	-5	8.0	15.9	-7.93	4.0	15.0	-11.03
Milt Palacio	21	23	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	3	-5	16.2	15.7	0.44	13.1	15.3	-2.20
Bryant Stith	52	52	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	4	-7	14.9	17.0	-2.06	14.3	15.4	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 86, HOU 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.73,1	92.1%
DEN 84, SAC 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.73,1	92.0%
CLE 84, CHA 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.85,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.49,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.57,0.58,1	91.7%