NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	86		Excitement	9.8 [57]		MVP	Moochie Norris (HOU): +53.3%
Houston Rockets	88		Comeback	2.4 [495]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -28.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,0.22	0.01	0.21	0.00	21	55%	0.32	2	-0.10	9	89%	0.02
Mark Jackson	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	9	78%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	9	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	9	40%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	6	50%	-0.00	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24	-0.13	-0.11	0.00	12	30%	-0.17	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.18,-0.29,-0.29	-0.14	-0.16	-0.01	15	27%	-0.23	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0,0,0,0,0.53	0.53	0.06	0.48	0.00	7	81%	0.77	2	-0.24	2	50%	-0.03
Kenny Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.04	0.00	16	71%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	9	65%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	15	53%	0.08	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.05
Oscar Torres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.00	6	36%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.03
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.1,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-0.01	14	36%	-0.09	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.8	23.0	15.8	28.0	2.4	31.4	124.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +101.1%

NYK -1.1%

NYK -36.8%

NYK -14.3%

HOU +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	HOU	NBA	NYK	HOU	NBA
this game	17.0	15.5	15.6	96.6	100.0	102.3
season	15.9	16.8		99.6	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.6		106.4	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.7	17.8	15.1	17.6	17.0
HOU	13.0	15.7	17.0	16.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	37	35	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.02	9	-11	20	17.6	16.6	0.93	15.9	15.2	0.67
Travis Knight	8	7	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-3	4	17.5	17.0	0.52	17.7	15.3	2.39
Kurt Thomas	39	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	0	-2	16.7	17.3	-0.59	14.2	16.6	-2.40
Charlie Ward	40	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.39	5	-7	12	16.9	17.1	-0.18	16.5	14.8	1.68
Mark Jackson	49	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	5	-12	17.1	16.9	0.18	14.8	16.5	-1.68
Allan Houston	75	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.35	0	-2	2	16.0	22.5	-6.50	15.5	15.8	-0.33
Othella Harrington	57	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.49	2	-4	6	17.1	16.8	0.28	16.5	13.9	2.52
Marcus Camby	74	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	3	-8	17.1	16.8	0.27	15.3	16.6	-1.26
Latrell Sprewell	66	67	-0.94	0.44	-1.37	-0.55	-13	11	-24	17.9	14.6	3.31	15.4	16.0	-0.64

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	84	84	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.41	7	-5	12	15.2	21.5	-6.27	16.8	20.4	-3.58
Steve Francis	84	86	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.38	7	-5	12	15.5	16.2	-0.77	16.9	21.7	-4.81
Eddie Griffin	52	52	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	-3	8	15.6	15.4	0.21	18.6	14.9	3.69
Cuttino Mobley	84	84	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.47	0	2	-2	15.5	14.7	0.80	17.1	15.0	2.14
Moochie Norris	44	45	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.43	1	1	0	16.5	14.5	2.07	17.2	16.9	0.31
Walt Williams	38	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	1	0	14.2	16.5	-2.34	17.2	16.9	0.28
Kelvin Cato	36	37	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	5	-8	15.4	15.6	-0.21	14.9	18.6	-3.69
Oscar Torres	14	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	5	-8	15.9	15.4	0.41	16.4	17.1	-0.79
Terence Morris	4	5	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	7	-12	21.5	15.2	6.27	20.4	16.8	3.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 84, SAC 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.73,1	94.2%
ATL 99, WAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.81,0.72,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.41,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.33,0.74,1	92.6%
ATL 82, BOS 83	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.45,0.58,1	92.1%