NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	120		Excitement	9.2 [99]		MVP	Allen Iverson (DEN): +24.3%
Denver Nuggets	126		Comeback	2.4 [565]		LVP	Boris Diaw (PHX): -21.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21	0.20	0.01	0.01	16	84%	0.26	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.09,-0.01,0.18,0.31,0.2	-0.03	0.22	-0.00	14	55%	0.34	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.05
Gordan Giricek	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	-0.01	0.01	9	89%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	64%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.02	12	76%	0.25	6	-0.21	9	78%	0.09
Raja Bell	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	12	42%	-0.06	2	-0.04	9	22%	-0.11
Boris Diaw	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.09	0.00	14	29%	-0.16	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.12	0.01	18	66%	0.33	3	-0.09	11	100%	0.12
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.05	-0.01	11	71%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.10	-0.02	5	80%	0.17	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,0.09	0.09	-0.07	0.15	-0.01	10	30%	0.18	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	6	64%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	9	69%	0.08	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.23,-0.15,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.08	0.01	12	58%	0.32	8	-0.34	19	68%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.4	28.5	15.7	29.3	2.6	39.2	145.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +22.5%

DEN +32.6%

PHX -0.3%

PHX -5.7%

DEN +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	14.2	12.0	15.4	109.1	115.6	105.7
season	13.8	13.3		111.1	108.2
opponent	15.2	15.6		105.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.7	13.1	15.0	15.4	14.2
DEN	9.8	12.6	12.3	13.9	12.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	69	71	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.09	0	-6	6	14.5	13.9	0.62	12.5	11.1	1.44
Brian Skinner	37	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-3	0	14.9	13.9	1.01	11.1	12.5	-1.44
Raja Bell	51	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	1	-8	13.5	14.9	-1.44	11.9	12.1	-0.20
Shaquille O'Neal	68	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-4	2	14.2	14.3	-0.03	11.8	12.4	-0.63
Leandro Barbosa	93	91	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-6	6	14.5	13.1	1.33	12.0	12.4	-0.48
Gordan Giricek	57	56	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.59	2	-8	10	13.3	15.2	-1.89	12.4	11.7	0.68
Steve Nash	82	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	5	-16	14.4	13.7	0.66	11.9	12.4	-0.55
Amar'e Stoudemire	93	91	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	3	-12	14.4	13.2	1.26	12.3	10.9	1.39

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	79	80	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.17	15	-9	24	11.7	12.9	-1.22	14.6	13.2	1.44
Allen Iverson	93	93	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-6	18	12.1	11.9	0.20	14.5	13.1	1.40
Anthony Carter	63	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-1	8	11.3	13.1	-1.84	14.1	14.5	-0.42
Carmelo Anthony	80	82	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	3	0	11.9	12.4	-0.50	14.5	13.6	0.81
Kenyon Martin	71	72	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	5	-4	12.2	11.8	0.35	14.2	14.4	-0.19
Nene	23	23	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	3	0	12.4	12.0	0.44	14.0	14.3	-0.31
Eduardo Najera	34	33	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	1	4	11.0	12.5	-1.56	14.1	14.3	-0.26
Linas Kleiza	40	40	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.15	-9	15	-24	13.5	11.2	2.26	13.4	14.7	-1.25
J.R. Smith	62	61	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	13	-20	12.8	11.1	1.73	14.1	14.4	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.83,0.67,0.52,0.74,0.7,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.46,0.43,0.53,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 87, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.69,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.63,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.68,0.45,0.68,0.72,1	92.2%
CLE 90, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.45,0.55,0.23,0.41,1	92.1%
SAS 82, UTA 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.73,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.58,1	91.0%