NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	82		Excitement	7.9 [234]		MVP	Shandon Anderson (UTA): +6.7%
Utah Jazz	83		Comeback	2.0 [504]		LVP	David Robinson (SAS): -56.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.03	0.07	-0.04	0.00	22	63%	0.11	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.04
Will Perdue	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.06	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Monty Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Herrera	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.02	11	54%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.06
Chuck Person	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22	-0.07	-0.15	-0.00	3	0%	-0.18	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	-0.57	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.4,-0.4,-0.57	-0.22	-0.36	-0.00	17	36%	-0.25	4	-0.32	11	55%	-0.09

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	3	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.08	-0.01	22	49%	0.11	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.08
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	11	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	13	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.3,-0.39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.02	10	20%	-0.36	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	51.3	2.7	29.2	16.8	27.1	2.3	29.5	158.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +11.3%

UTA +2.6%

SAS -5.5%

UTA +40.8%

UTA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	15.2	16.7	15.6	92.1	91.2	102.5
season	15.9	15.9		100.9	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.9		102.1	97.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.0	15.9	15.5	14.5	15.2
UTA	15.6	17.5	14.5	19.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monty Williams	14	14	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.09	8	-9	17	16.0	15.1	0.89	17.5	16.6	0.90
Carl Herrera	5	6	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-6	11	19.8	15.0	4.82	18.2	16.6	1.53
Avery Johnson	71	74	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.24	3	-4	7	15.4	14.7	0.73	17.2	14.8	2.35
David Robinson	78	79	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-5	9	15.3	15.1	0.18	16.5	18.2	-1.74
Will Perdue	45	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	6	-13	15.3	15.2	0.08	16.5	17.0	-0.54
Vinny Del Negro	58	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	2	-5	15.1	15.5	-0.31	16.1	17.8	-1.65
Jaren Jackson	49	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	1	-3	15.2	15.3	-0.19	16.8	16.7	0.10
Chuck Person	41	41	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.34	-7	6	-13	14.9	15.5	-0.64	17.2	16.3	0.88
Tim Duncan	84	85	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.42	-6	5	-11	15.0	19.8	-4.82	16.6	18.2	-1.53

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Hornacek	60	59	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.41	12	-11	23	15.7	18.7	-3.04	14.8	16.0	-1.19
Bryon Russell	66	66	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	0	1	17.0	16.0	0.96	15.7	14.0	1.62
Howard Eisley	28	28	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	-11	23	16.5	16.8	-0.34	15.6	15.1	0.58
Antoine Carr	26	25	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	-6	13	16.9	16.7	0.26	15.8	15.0	0.82
Karl Malone	74	73	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	3	-5	16.2	18.9	-2.71	15.3	14.9	0.38
Greg Ostertag	15	15	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	-10	21	14.2	17.2	-3.04	14.8	15.3	-0.54
Greg Foster	54	53	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.42	-6	7	-13	17.8	15.2	2.65	15.3	15.2	0.04
John Stockton	63	61	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.47	-11	12	-23	16.8	16.5	0.34	15.1	15.6	-0.58
Adam Keefe	25	23	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	1	-1	16.0	17.0	-0.96	14.0	15.7	-1.62
Chris Morris	13	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.10	-8	9	-17	17.7	16.6	1.12	14.1	15.4	-1.35
Shandon Anderson	31	30	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.06	-11	12	-23	18.7	15.7	3.04	16.0	14.8	1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.73,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 92, HOU 95	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.75,0.46,0.57,0.58,1	91.6%
SAS 81, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.68,0.37,0.68,0.72,1	91.3%
PHX 120, DEN 126	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.83,0.67,0.52,0.74,0.7,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.46,0.43,0.53,1	91.0%