NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	100		Excitement	7.7 [300]		MVP	Desmond Mason (SEA): +37.4%
Seattle SuperSonics	102		Comeback	5.6 [327]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): -31.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.12	0.00	6	75%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	11	73%	0.16	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.05
Eric Piatkowski	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	0.01	0.04	10	88%	0.16	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	87%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Darius Miles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	10	43%	0.04	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.14	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	15	47%	-0.03	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.04
Quentin Richardson	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.31	-0.08	-0.23	0.00	8	22%	-0.31	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.13

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.37	0.37	0.16	0.23	0.02	22	72%	0.42	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.07
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.12	0.00	10	64%	0.23	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.05	0.06	0.00	8	78%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	5	80%	0.17	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.15	-0.01	22	49%	-0.10	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	47.5	1.8	28.3	15.8	24.0	1.8	35.0	154.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +34.4%

LAC -6.4%

SEA +13.1%

SEA +3.6%

SEA +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SEA	NBA	LAC	SEA	NBA
this game	16.6	17.5	15.6	117.6	121.4	102.3
season	15.9	16.0		103.6	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.4		103.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.4	16.2	16.2	17.8	16.6
SEA	14.9	19.0	17.3	19.1	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	18	19	0.52	-1.02	1.55	0.14	13	-15	28	20.1	15.7	4.37	20.3	16.7	3.60
Darius Miles	64	63	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.52	14	-16	30	16.9	15.8	1.07	18.1	15.6	2.54
Quentin Richardson	43	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.41	6	-8	14	16.3	16.9	-0.63	18.5	16.5	2.00
Corey Maggette	20	20	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.13	-16	14	-30	16.5	16.6	-0.08	15.3	18.2	-2.86
Michael Olowokandi	78	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	0	-2	16.6	16.9	-0.27	17.9	13.0	4.88
Eric Piatkowski	57	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.32	-3	1	-4	16.5	16.7	-0.21	16.4	19.9	-3.49
Elton Brand	78	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	5	-12	16.7	16.1	0.51	17.4	18.4	-0.99
Jeff McInnis	67	65	-1.02	0.52	-1.55	-0.58	-15	13	-28	15.7	20.1	-4.37	16.7	20.3	-3.60

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	76	77	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.50	14	-12	26	16.5	26.9	-10.39	16.9	13.6	3.30
Predrag Drobnjak	69	71	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.28	20	-18	38	17.2	18.9	-1.77	16.8	15.8	0.99
Desmond Mason	69	71	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.44	11	-9	20	17.1	19.4	-2.34	16.1	19.4	-3.37
Gary Payton	78	78	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.46	1	1	0	17.8	13.7	4.10	16.5	18.1	-1.67
Vin Baker	39	38	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.57	-9	11	-20	18.8	16.3	2.46	15.8	17.3	-1.44
Ansu Sesay	17	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.20	-9	11	-20	17.2	17.5	-0.30	18.3	16.2	2.09
Vladimir Radmanovic	7	8	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	7	-12	19.7	17.3	2.44	19.1	16.4	2.77
Jerome James	51	52	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.17	-2	4	-6	17.2	17.8	-0.61	16.8	16.2	0.60
Earl Watson	14	15	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.08	-11	13	-24	21.2	16.7	4.49	15.7	16.8	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.54,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.25,0.22,0.32,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 101, NYK 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.34,0.42,1	92.4%
SAS 98, DEN 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.83,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.21,0.15,0.26,1	91.5%
POR 97, LAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.59,0.69,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.17,1	91.2%