NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	98		Excitement	8.4 [214]		MVP	Jonathon Simmons (SAS): +29.8%
Denver Nuggets	102		Comeback	9.2 [179]		LVP	Andre Miller (SAS): -17.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathon Simmons	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.09	0.17	-0.05	7	79%	0.30	2	-0.00	5	100%	0.04
Kevin Martin	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.05,0.21,0.21	0.06	0.12	-0.02	11	63%	0.23	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.09
Boban Marjanovic	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	5	64%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
David West	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.07	0.04	12	57%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Matt Bonner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.05	0.04	-0.09	-0.00	15	58%	0.11	2	-0.17	6	50%	-0.08
Patty Mills	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	12	27%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	9	11%	-0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	11	36%	-0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.05	0.01	8	80%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.12	-0.01	18	55%	0.21	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.03	0.14	-0.01	6	43%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.18
Nikola Jokic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.10	-0.02	9	40%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.06
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Axel Toupane	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.04	0.01	15	65%	0.14	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.06	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	12	42%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	26.6	15.5	24.2	2.6	34.3	129.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +20.2%

DEN +1.8%

DEN +7.5%

SAS -1.4%

DEN +21.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	DEN	NBA	SAS	DEN	NBA
this game	15.3	13.6	14.9	99.0	102.0	105.1
season	15.7	14.9		109.0	104.3
opponent	14.9	14.7		107.8	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.5	15.3	15.7	15.9	15.3
DEN	12.7	12.9	15.7	13.5	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	28	30	0.26	-0.76	1.01	-0.16	14	-18	32	13.9	15.9	-2.04	12.6	14.1	-1.42
Jonathon Simmons	70	71	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.16	3	-7	10	15.5	14.8	0.75	14.7	11.0	3.75
Andre Miller	54	54	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.11	-5	1	-6	16.6	13.8	2.87	14.4	12.7	1.69
Boban Marjanovic	30	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-3	2	13.9	15.9	-1.99	13.2	13.8	-0.61
Tim Duncan	69	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-1	-2	15.9	13.9	1.99	13.8	13.2	0.61
Patty Mills	51	51	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.46	-1	-3	2	14.1	16.6	-2.53	12.5	14.8	-2.29
Kyle Anderson	73	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.33	-8	4	-12	15.5	15.0	0.49	13.1	15.1	-2.05
Kevin Martin	55	57	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.59	-3	-1	-2	14.9	15.9	-1.01	13.0	14.5	-1.47
David West	65	65	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.27	-16	12	-28	15.8	14.4	1.48	14.3	12.3	1.98

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emmanuel Mudiay	75	76	1.07	-0.57	1.63	0.39	23	-19	42	13.3	14.6	-1.29	15.5	14.7	0.82
Nikola Jokic	67	67	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.28	24	-20	44	13.5	13.9	-0.37	15.8	14.4	1.40
Gary Harris	61	61	0.92	-0.42	1.35	0.37	19	-15	34	12.9	14.8	-1.95	16.1	14.0	2.15
JaKarr Sampson	51	51	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.10	16	-12	28	14.2	13.1	1.08	15.1	15.6	-0.55
Jusuf Nurkic	71	72	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.29	9	-5	14	13.3	14.6	-1.30	15.9	13.7	2.28
Will Barton	67	66	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.35	-13	17	-30	13.9	13.2	0.71	15.0	16.0	-1.06
Joffrey Lauvergne	30	29	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	11	-18	14.7	13.2	1.58	14.2	15.8	-1.58
Axel Toupane	21	19	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.14	-14	18	-32	14.2	13.5	0.71	14.3	15.6	-1.25
D.J. Augustin	30	28	-0.56	1.06	-1.61	0.00	-19	23	-42	14.0	13.5	0.48	14.6	15.6	-1.05
Mike Miller	27	26	-0.60	1.10	-1.70	-0.07	-18	22	-40	13.9	13.5	0.41	14.2	15.7	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.83,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.21,0.15,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, SEA 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.54,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.25,0.22,0.32,0.42,1	91.5%
NYK 68, TOR 70	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.27,1	91.3%
BOS 101, NYK 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.34,0.42,1	90.6%