NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	68		Excitement	8.5 [148]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): +6.0%
Toronto Raptors	70		Comeback	6.3 [195]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -69.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	10	60%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Larry Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Glen Rice	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	12	38%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.04,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	16	53%	0.05	5	-0.20	2	100%	0.02
Chris Childs	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.35	-0.04	-0.31	0.00	9	44%	-0.29	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.70	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.34,-0.7	-0.20	-0.47	0.02	14	31%	-0.39	6	-0.31	1	100%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Oakley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	11	58%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.07
Corliss Williamson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	15	53%	0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	22	46%	-0.03	3	-0.11	8	75%	0.12
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	8	25%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.13	-0.11	0.00	6	19%	-0.17	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	9	20%	-0.15	4	-0.19	2	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	267.1	2.8	27.5	19.6	24.2	3.3	36.5	381.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +8.2%

TOR +22.4%

TOR +24.9%

NYK -8.9%

TOR +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	16.6	17.1	15.5	79.1	82.4	100.9
season	16.4	15.8		99.2	103.7
opponent	15.4	16.1		101.6	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	19.3	15.2	15.7	16.6	16.6
TOR	18.6	16.8	15.6	17.7	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Longley	21	22	0.52	-1.02	1.55	0.17	12	-14	26	14.5	17.3	-2.74	17.9	16.8	1.10
Larry Johnson	28	27	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.04	1	-3	4	17.3	16.3	1.03	19.3	16.1	3.28
Chris Childs	59	56	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.35	7	-9	16	15.4	19.1	-3.67	16.6	18.0	-1.37
Kurt Thomas	55	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	1	-4	16.3	17.1	-0.74	17.4	16.7	0.70
Latrell Sprewell	70	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-2	2	17.0	14.9	2.11	17.6	15.0	2.58
Allan Houston	68	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.44	-3	1	-4	16.9	15.6	1.31	17.0	17.3	-0.27
Glen Rice	61	63	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.48	-11	9	-20	17.0	15.7	1.23	16.5	18.8	-2.26
Marcus Camby	68	68	-0.88	0.38	-1.25	-0.49	-13	11	-24	17.2	14.4	2.72	16.2	20.6	-4.37

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	54	55	1.27	-0.77	2.04	0.65	21	-19	40	16.4	18.4	-1.98	18.2	13.8	4.41
Antonio Davis	69	70	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.60	10	-8	18	17.1	16.9	0.27	16.8	15.7	1.04
Mark Jackson	62	62	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.58	6	-4	10	17.4	16.3	1.02	16.9	15.7	1.23
Charles Oakley	66	68	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.51	2	0	2	17.7	14.9	2.76	17.0	15.0	2.01
Vince Carter	78	79	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.47	-3	5	-8	17.3	14.3	3.06	16.3	19.4	-3.09
Alvin Williams	29	29	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	-0.20	-6	8	-14	16.7	17.3	-0.56	16.0	16.9	-0.95
Morris Peterson	33	33	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	-0.07	-12	14	-26	17.0	17.2	-0.20	14.5	17.9	-3.47
Kevin Willis	34	34	-0.57	1.07	-1.63	-0.33	-8	10	-18	16.3	17.6	-1.33	15.4	17.4	-2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 98, DEN 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.83,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.21,0.15,0.26,1	91.3%
LAC 100, SEA 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.54,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.25,0.22,0.32,0.42,1	90.8%
BOS 101, NYK 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.34,0.42,1	90.6%