NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	97		Excitement	8.8 [121]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +51.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	98		Comeback	8.2 [207]		LVP	Wesley Matthews (POR): -20.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Hickson	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.35,0.27	0.10	0.18	0.01	19	64%	0.36	3	-0.09	7	43%	-0.15
Jamal Crawford	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19	0.05	0.13	-0.00	12	54%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.01	13	64%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.12,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	0.01	9	45%	0.06	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.21	-0.05	-0.17	-0.01	13	43%	-0.13	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.51	0.51	0.10	0.41	0.00	13	67%	0.55	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.32	0.32	0.08	0.24	0.00	16	61%	0.35	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	0.00	9	60%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.05
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.05	-0.03	14	56%	0.09	1	-0.07	8	50%	-0.10
Nick Young	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.04	0.00	11	45%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.6	33.0	18.7	25.3	2.7	41.6	149.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +46.9%

LAC +1.6%

POR -4.9%

POR -1.7%

LAC +8.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	16.5	16.6	15.6	110.2	114.0	102.8
season	15.7	16.2		104.1	106.0
opponent	15.7	15.4		104.5	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.4	14.9	17.6	16.3	16.5
LAC	13.9	18.7	19.4	15.0	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Babbitt	38	36	0.48	-0.98	1.46	0.04	15	-16	31	15.6	17.2	-1.61	17.6	15.9	1.68
Jonny Flynn	27	27	0.26	-0.76	1.03	-0.03	10	-11	21	14.9	17.2	-2.30	18.2	15.8	2.39
Hasheem Thabeet	13	15	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.06	1	-2	3	16.5	16.5	-0.07	15.4	16.8	-1.43
Kurt Thomas	16	14	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.01	1	-2	3	15.4	16.8	-1.40	15.3	16.8	-1.55
Joel Przybilla	29	30	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	6	-13	17.7	15.9	1.79	16.4	16.7	-0.33
Jamal Crawford	54	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.48	7	-8	15	16.0	17.4	-1.35	16.6	16.5	0.13
Nicolas Batum	68	67	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.57	-2	1	-3	16.8	15.5	1.32	17.2	14.3	2.98
JJ Hickson	66	64	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.48	-5	4	-9	16.6	16.2	0.39	17.2	14.9	2.25
Raymond Felton	61	59	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.44	-11	10	-21	17.2	14.9	2.30	15.8	18.2	-2.39
Wesley Matthews	68	66	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.39	-14	13	-27	16.8	15.5	1.32	15.4	20.4	-4.98

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	69	71	0.97	-0.47	1.43	0.47	17	-16	33	16.5	16.9	-0.45	16.9	14.9	2.03
Caron Butler	57	59	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.40	15	-14	29	15.6	18.6	-2.97	17.7	14.1	3.56
Chris Paul	70	73	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.37	11	-10	21	16.4	17.4	-0.97	16.8	15.3	1.51
Randy Foye	50	52	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.46	4	-3	7	17.3	15.6	1.67	16.8	16.1	0.65
DeAndre Jordan	64	64	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.33	8	-7	15	15.9	18.6	-2.76	17.5	13.8	3.70
Kenyon Martin	22	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.33	-12	13	-25	18.0	16.1	1.85	14.2	17.3	-3.06
Eric Bledsoe	16	15	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.10	-10	11	-21	17.4	16.4	0.97	15.3	16.8	-1.51
Reggie Evans	9	9	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.08	-12	13	-25	19.6	16.2	3.32	13.4	16.9	-3.43
Nick Young	47	48	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.15	-5	6	-11	15.8	17.6	-1.80	16.1	17.0	-0.87
Bobby Simmons	26	27	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.03	-11	12	-23	18.7	15.7	3.03	13.6	17.8	-4.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.59,0.69,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.17,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, SEA 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.54,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.25,0.22,0.32,0.42,1	91.2%
NJN 80, MIA 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.26,1	91.0%
NJN 86, WAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.4,0.61,0.36,0.23,0.28,1	90.1%