NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	86		Excitement	9.1 [120]		MVP	Aaron Williams (NJN): +21.9%
Washington Wizards	89		Comeback	5.4 [184]		LVP	Christian Laettner (WAS): -28.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Williams	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.22,0.22	0.02	0.17	-0.03	10	64%	0.25	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Chris Childs	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	16	60%	0.01	2	-0.07	10	50%	-0.07
Rodney Rogers	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	7	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	1	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Kerry Kittles	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14	-0.13	-0.05	-0.04	14	24%	-0.12	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,-0.05,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21	-0.04	-0.17	0.00	12	50%	-0.08	2	-0.13	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24	-0.09	-0.15	0.00	13	32%	-0.24	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.29,0.17,0.09,0.01,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.05	0.01	30	63%	0.23	1	-0.03	8	87%	-0.02
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	1	100%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.01	7	72%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.06
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	6	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26,-0.23	-0.23	-0.14	-0.10	-0.01	12	37%	-0.15	3	-0.07	6	33%	-0.12
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29	-0.29	-0.09	-0.19	0.01	6	39%	-0.25	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	32.3	16.3	22.7	2.5	34.6	132.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +33.3%

WAS +20.8%

NJN -0.3%

NJN -3.9%

WAS +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	WAS	NBA	NJN	WAS	NBA
this game	16.4	17.2	15.5	100.0	104.7	101.6
season	15.0	16.5		101.1	100.9
opponent	15.5	15.9		101.9	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.6	16.6	15.4	16.0	16.4
WAS	15.1	16.9	19.9	17.4	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	22	22	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.04	6	-9	15	15.3	16.8	-1.57	16.8	17.4	-0.58
Rodney Rogers	30	31	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-8	13	15.9	16.7	-0.83	19.0	16.2	2.76
Chris Childs	1	0	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-3	3	1.0	16.6	-15.62	0.0	17.2	-17.25
Brian Scalabrine	7	6	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-2	1	15.1	16.6	-1.41	14.5	17.5	-2.96
Jason Collins	45	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.10	-8	5	-13	18.1	14.7	3.41	16.5	18.0	-1.44
Anthony Johnson	11	10	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	4	-11	15.5	16.6	-1.13	18.8	17.0	1.76
Aaron Williams	40	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.53	7	-10	17	15.0	17.7	-2.74	18.2	16.4	1.78
Kerry Kittles	71	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-2	1	16.9	14.1	2.80	17.1	18.2	-1.16
Richard Jefferson	69	68	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	16.9	14.6	2.31	17.1	17.8	-0.72
Kenyon Martin	64	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.34	-7	4	-11	16.5	16.3	0.23	17.1	17.5	-0.40
Jason Kidd	70	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.39	-6	3	-9	16.3	16.9	-0.53	16.9	18.7	-1.72

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyronn Lue	61	63	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.36	17	-14	31	15.9	20.8	-4.94	16.7	15.9	0.78
Christian Laettner	72	74	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.30	15	-12	27	17.3	16.8	0.47	16.9	13.8	3.03
Charles Oakley	42	42	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.34	8	-5	13	17.7	16.8	0.97	16.8	16.1	0.67
Michael Jordan	76	76	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-6	15	17.0	19.4	-2.46	16.8	13.5	3.33
Bobby Simmons	20	21	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	-8	19	15.5	17.8	-2.22	18.0	15.9	2.06
Jerry Stackhouse	66	66	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.46	-6	9	-15	17.5	16.3	1.20	15.9	18.3	-2.49
Brendan Haywood	25	26	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	1	1	17.1	17.3	-0.24	18.1	15.7	2.40
Bryon Russell	9	9	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.10	-8	11	-19	19.3	17.0	2.33	13.8	16.8	-2.98
Etan Thomas	16	16	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.09	-9	12	-21	17.7	17.1	0.62	14.7	16.8	-2.16
Kwame Brown	12	12	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.08	-12	15	-27	18.2	17.1	1.17	13.8	16.9	-3.03
Juan Dixon	26	25	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.05	-12	15	-27	19.6	16.2	3.36	14.7	17.1	-2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.4,0.61,0.36,0.23,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 80, MIA 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.26,1	91.0%
CHI 73, UTA 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.39,0.47,0.29,0.15,0.26,1	90.1%
POR 97, LAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.59,0.69,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.17,1	90.1%