NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	73		Excitement	7.5 [320]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +18.9%
Utah Jazz	78		Comeback	12.7 [98]		LVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): -21.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	7	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	62%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Luc Longley	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	69%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Jason Caffey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	16	47%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Rodman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Kerr	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19	-0.04	-0.15	0.00	5	20%	-0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.06,-0.11,-0.25,-0.17,-0.01,-0.06,-0.21	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	27	41%	-0.05	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.19	0.19	-0.01	0.22	0.01	19	52%	0.24	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.05
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	11	65%	0.13	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.02
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	60%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.10	0.01	11	52%	-0.06	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.03
Bryon Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	12	33%	-0.05	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	380.9	0.2	30.2	17.8	26.4	3.6	-677.5	-218.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +37.4%

UTA +30.2%

UTA +5.3%

CHI -25.8%

UTA +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	UTA	NBA	CHI	UTA	NBA
this game	17.4	18.6	15.6	91.2	97.5	104.4
season	15.5	15.6		110.5	110.8
opponent	16.0	16.1		102.2	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.7	16.3	17.6	18.3	17.4
UTA	19.2	18.0	17.5	19.6	18.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bison Dele	32	32	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.12	5	-10	15	15.7	18.6	-2.97	20.0	17.6	2.45
Ron Harper	42	41	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-2	-1	19.5	15.1	4.44	19.1	17.9	1.20
Dennis Rodman	39	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.17	-7	2	-9	19.4	15.6	3.75	18.3	18.8	-0.45
Jason Caffey	5	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	0	-5	14.0	17.7	-3.67	15.0	18.8	-3.80
Toni Kukoc	40	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.43	10	-15	25	16.0	18.9	-2.92	18.8	18.3	0.57
Randy Brown	8	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	1	-7	15.9	17.6	-1.74	16.5	18.8	-2.29
Jud Buechler	5	4	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	0	-5	13.4	17.7	-4.31	8.7	19.1	-10.33
Steve Kerr	40	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.49	5	-10	15	15.5	19.4	-3.92	18.6	18.5	0.17
Michael Jordan	70	71	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	1	-7	17.5	17.2	0.27	18.4	19.8	-1.37
Luc Longley	42	41	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.26	-9	4	-13	19.3	15.4	3.89	18.2	19.0	-0.80
Scottie Pippen	77	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	-1	-3	17.4	17.3	0.11	18.9	10.7	8.20

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Carr	15	13	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.59	4	1	3	12.5	20.0	-7.42	15.5	17.8	-2.27
Bryon Russell	71	71	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-6	17	18.6	17.9	0.76	17.8	14.9	2.87
Karl Malone	70	72	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.30	9	-4	13	19.0	15.4	3.61	17.8	13.9	3.96
Jeff Hornacek	64	64	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.29	9	-4	13	18.0	20.9	-2.97	17.7	16.5	1.17
John Stockton	62	62	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.39	0	5	-5	18.6	18.4	0.22	18.1	15.0	3.15
Howard Eisley	18	18	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	0	5	18.4	18.6	-0.22	15.0	18.1	-3.15
Chris Morris	22	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	9	-13	19.9	18.1	1.79	15.8	18.1	-2.29
Adam Keefe	6	4	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	9	-13	12.8	19.0	-6.19	13.5	17.6	-4.14
Greg Ostertag	34	34	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.14	0	5	-5	19.7	17.7	1.99	19.2	16.2	3.02
Greg Foster	38	38	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.08	-5	10	-15	20.1	17.2	2.89	16.2	18.5	-2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.39,0.47,0.29,0.15,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 95, MIN 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.54,0.45,0.29,0.22,0.08,1	90.6%
DEN 101, GSW 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.22,0.15,0.42,1	90.6%
CHH 84, DAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.56,0.45,0.24,0.27,1	90.5%