NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	95		Excitement	9.6 [87]		MVP	Nikola Pekovic (MIN): +18.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Comeback	11.4 [95]		LVP	Eric Gordon (NOH): -24.6%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robin Lopez	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	14	62%	0.19	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Anthony Davis	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	13	59%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Brian Roberts	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terrel Harris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.19,-0.14,-0.18,-0.4,-0.27,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.06	-0.01	25	46%	0.25	6	-0.28	2	100%	0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	4	58%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.14
Ryan Anderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	10	32%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	7	29%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.25	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.25	0.03	-0.26	0.02	6	54%	-0.25	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.18	0.18	0.01	0.19	0.01	8	59%	0.22	2	-0.03	6	50%	0.02
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.00	6	53%	0.09	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.05	0.00	11	70%	0.20	3	-0.20	1	100%	0.02
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.14,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.10	-0.01	16	67%	0.24	5	-0.25	10	70%	-0.07
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	29.3	15.4	25.1	1.8	41.1	136.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +48.0%

MIN +38.6%

NOH -39.8%

NOH -2.4%

MIN +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MIN	NBA	NOH	MIN	NBA
this game	16.7	16.4	15.4	106.7	114.1	104.1
season	16.3	15.6		103.9	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.6		103.4	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.0	18.3	16.1	17.5	16.7
MIN	19.5	15.1	14.5	16.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	63	56	0.35	-0.85	1.21	0.24	4	-6	10	16.4	17.5	-1.12	16.8	15.6	1.22
Anthony Davis	62	60	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-6	10	16.3	17.7	-1.43	16.2	16.8	-0.64
Brian Roberts	17	17	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-7	12	16.1	16.9	-0.80	15.3	16.7	-1.37
Lou Amundson	21	22	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-2	2	18.0	16.3	1.69	16.7	16.3	0.46
Terrel Harris	13	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	1	-4	15.5	16.9	-1.46	15.3	16.6	-1.28
Robin Lopez	63	60	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-1	0	16.5	17.2	-0.74	16.5	16.1	0.44
Eric Gordon	51	48	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.52	4	-6	10	15.0	19.0	-4.00	16.5	16.2	0.35
Greivis Vasquez	72	68	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.41	-7	5	-12	16.9	16.1	0.80	16.7	15.3	1.37
Roger Mason Jr.	39	39	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.61	-9	7	-16	18.7	15.1	3.58	15.7	17.0	-1.24
Ryan Anderson	44	42	-0.94	0.44	-1.38	-0.74	-7	5	-12	18.0	15.4	2.65	16.5	16.3	0.27

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Williams	65	68	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.43	12	-10	22	16.5	16.0	0.51	16.8	16.5	0.30
Luke Ridnour	55	59	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.46	6	-4	10	16.6	16.0	0.60	16.5	17.1	-0.64
Ricky Rubio	61	65	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.48	5	-3	8	16.5	16.1	0.42	16.7	16.7	-0.06
Greg Stiemsma	30	30	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	-13	28	14.1	17.7	-3.59	16.0	17.1	-1.02
Mickael Gelabale	28	30	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	-10	22	17.3	15.9	1.39	19.0	15.6	3.41
Dante Cunningham	39	39	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.43	-6	8	-14	16.3	16.5	-0.24	17.2	16.3	0.84
Andrei Kirilenko	48	49	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	13	-24	15.6	17.4	-1.71	15.3	18.4	-3.03
Chris Johnson	4	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	4	-6	18.0	16.3	1.69	16.7	16.7	-0.04
Alexey Shved	27	27	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	6	-10	16.1	16.5	-0.35	16.5	16.8	-0.32
Jose Juan Barea	27	27	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.05	-3	5	-8	15.9	16.6	-0.68	17.4	16.4	1.06
Nikola Pekovic	41	45	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	0.06	-14	16	-30	18.1	14.8	3.30	16.6	16.8	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.54,0.45,0.29,0.22,0.08,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 89, CHH 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.46,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.15,1	90.6%
CHI 73, UTA 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.39,0.47,0.29,0.15,0.26,1	90.6%
UTA 98, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.4,0.26,0.26,0.45,0.27,1	90.5%