NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	84		Excitement	9.2 [103]		MVP	Ricky Pierce (CHH): +22.9%
Dallas Mavericks	86		Comeback	21.8 [44]		LVP	Anthony Mason (CHH): -35.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Pierce	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.11,0.27,0.27,0.23	0.03	0.20	0.00	12	57%	0.30	1	-0.07	4	100%	0.08
Glen Rice	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	25	56%	0.16	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Rafael Addison	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.00	12	35%	-0.09	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Smith	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.17	-0.05	-0.02	8	0%	-0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.35	-0.06	-0.28	0.01	14	45%	-0.10	2	-0.25	5	100%	0.07

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.21	0.21	0.00	0.21	-0.00	6	64%	0.33	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.04
Khalid Reeves	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	12	56%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.08,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.09	-0.01	13	52%	0.14	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.08
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Greg Dreiling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	14	53%	0.04	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.08
Ed O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	-0.00	18	44%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	2.5	25.2	15.8	20.6	1.8	37.1	123.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +14.0%

DAL +21.5%

CHH -5.9%

DAL +18.9%

DAL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	DAL	NBA	CHH	DAL	NBA
this game	16.5	16.1	15.6	94.4	97.7	104.4
season	15.7	15.9		108.0	99.1
opponent	15.7	16.0		105.5	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	16.6	17.7	14.6	17.1	16.5
DAL	15.4	15.8	16.1	17.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafael Addison	18	17	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.00	4	-6	10	17.7	16.1	1.58	17.8	15.7	2.16
Tony Delk	13	13	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.02	3	-5	8	18.2	16.2	2.07	19.7	15.5	4.24
Matt Geiger	23	21	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.00	2	-4	6	16.8	16.3	0.43	17.5	15.6	1.90
Muggsy Bogues	44	43	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.05	-2	0	-2	16.3	16.6	-0.28	14.4	17.7	-3.25
Glen Rice	86	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.46	-1	-1	0	16.2	24.0	-7.80	15.8	29.0	-13.22
Anthony Mason	89	88	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	16.5	0.0	16.46	16.1	0.0	16.08
Ricky Pierce	37	36	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.46	-2	0	-2	15.7	17.0	-1.25	16.4	15.9	0.52
Vlade Divac	66	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.44	-4	2	-6	16.3	16.8	-0.43	15.6	17.5	-1.90
Tony Smith	69	69	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.43	-8	6	-14	16.6	15.9	0.66	16.2	15.6	0.64

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	82	82	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.40	10	-8	18	15.8	19.5	-3.67	16.5	16.0	0.50
Erick Strickland	65	66	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.67	-1	3	-4	15.6	17.6	-2.01	15.5	19.3	-3.78
Derek Harper	39	40	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.58	0	2	-2	17.8	14.7	3.17	16.7	16.3	0.39
Shawn Bradley	72	73	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.40	-4	6	-10	15.7	17.7	-2.04	16.0	18.7	-2.71
Greg Dreiling	16	16	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	-4	10	17.7	15.7	2.04	18.7	16.0	2.71
A.C. Green	65	65	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.24	-4	6	-10	16.0	16.3	-0.36	15.7	18.5	-2.79
Samaki Walker	23	23	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	-1	4	16.3	16.0	0.36	19.3	15.5	3.78
Khalid Reeves	61	62	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.14	7	-5	12	15.9	16.6	-0.74	16.6	16.1	0.45
Ed O'Bannon	17	18	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.03	-7	9	-16	16.1	16.1	-0.03	18.1	16.1	2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.56,0.45,0.24,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 90, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.27,1	91.4%
NOH 98, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.16,0.17,1	91.2%
SAC 108, CHA 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.27,1	91.1%