NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Excitement	8.5 [197]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (LAL): +17.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	93		Comeback	3.2 [598]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (MIN): -28.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.12	0.00	10	77%	0.28	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.1,0.1,-0.02,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	19	64%	0.21	3	-0.15	4	75%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Anthony Carter	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.00	10	62%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
John Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.28	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.28	-0.13	-0.16	-0.01	28	37%	-0.26	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.10	-0.01	17	71%	0.37	5	-0.20	1	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.02	4	100%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.04
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.07	0.07	-0.05	0.11	-0.01	14	47%	0.10	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.08	-0.00	10	46%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	3.7	34.6	16.8	26.7	3.0	35.1	142.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +67.3%

LAL +1.8%

MIN -14.6%

MIN -4.8%

LAL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	16.8	15.8	15.5	101.1	105.7	104.0
season	15.8	15.7		106.2	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.9		108.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.8	17.3	16.1	17.9	16.8
LAL	14.9	14.7	17.4	16.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Thomas	10	10	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.02	5	-8	13	15.1	17.0	-1.86	16.8	15.7	1.15
Eddie Griffin	27	26	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-8	13	16.8	16.7	0.09	15.6	15.9	-0.24
Latrell Sprewell	76	76	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.39	10	-13	23	16.6	17.4	-0.74	15.9	15.1	0.81
Anthony Carter	53	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	1	-5	16.5	17.1	-0.65	16.5	14.7	1.87
Ervin Johnson	49	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	6	-15	16.6	16.9	-0.36	15.6	16.0	-0.43
Fred Hoiberg	17	16	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	0	-3	16.9	16.7	0.16	15.7	15.8	-0.12
Trenton Hassell	54	54	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-3	3	16.3	17.5	-1.26	16.1	15.4	0.70
Troy Hudson	37	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.44	2	-5	7	16.7	16.8	-0.13	14.4	16.7	-2.36
Wally Szczerbiak	53	52	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.36	-11	8	-19	17.8	15.2	2.62	15.8	15.7	0.15
Kevin Garnett	69	68	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.43	-10	7	-17	17.0	15.9	1.04	15.6	16.3	-0.67

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	82	83	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.37	10	-7	17	15.7	16.5	-0.77	17.1	12.3	4.74
Tierre Brown	16	16	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.56	3	0	3	17.3	15.4	1.87	15.1	17.1	-2.06
Chucky Atkins	81	83	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.39	6	-3	9	15.6	17.9	-2.25	17.2	11.0	6.17
Lamar Odom	50	52	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.36	4	-1	5	15.9	15.6	0.31	17.0	16.4	0.59
Jumaine Jones	65	67	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.43	0	3	-3	15.5	16.5	-1.00	16.8	16.5	0.34
Brian Grant	34	33	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	-3	9	16.1	15.6	0.45	16.8	16.7	0.15
Chris Mihm	50	51	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	2	-1	15.3	16.4	-1.07	16.8	16.6	0.21
Brian Cook	18	18	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	12	-21	16.2	15.7	0.55	16.0	16.9	-0.94
Sasha Vujacic	44	42	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.03	-6	9	-15	16.0	15.5	0.48	15.6	17.7	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 89, CHH 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.46,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.15,1	92.1%
SAC 108, CHA 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.27,1	91.6%
UTA 98, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.4,0.26,0.26,0.45,0.27,1	91.5%