inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 108 Excitement9.9 [77] MVPSean May (CHA): +37.5%
Charlotte Bobcats 111 Comeback11.6 [147] LVPPrimoz Brezec (CHA): -14.7%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Salmons0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.070.13-0.00878%0.262-0.06250%-0.01
Kevin Martin0.130,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.130.110.020.001562%0.171-0.041283%0.04
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.010.080.00944%0.0900.00771%-0.00
Brad Miller0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.030.00762%0.081-0.022100%0.01
Metta World Peace0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.03-0.030.070.001458%0.406-0.37862%-0.05
Mike Bibby0.000,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,00.02-0.03-0.01965%0.083-0.07560%-0.01
Kenny Thomas-0.020,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.010.01362%0.011-0.03250%-0.01
Ronnie Price-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Corliss Williamson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.00560%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Francisco Garcia-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sean May0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,0.380.380.070.320.021759%0.471-0.0900%0.00
Matt Carroll0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.260.260.140.130.011479%0.312-0.0600%0.00
Walter Herrmann0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.120.080.004125%0.2000.0000%0.00
Derek Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.1,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.190.190.080.12-0.00867%0.1900.002100%0.02
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0-0.00-0.040.04-0.001444%0.052-0.05887%0.06
Jeff McInnis0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.00540%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Adam Morrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00520%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.04-0.011346%-0.003-0.082100%0.01
Jake Voskuhl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.04-0.070.00560%0.023-0.1300%0.00
Primoz Brezec0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.06-0.090.00733%-0.121-0.03450%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.81.830.115.525.22.037.7138.0
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +9.8%
SAC -14.7%
CHA +29.9%
CHA +24.2%
CHA +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACCHANBASACCHANBA
this game13.516.115.4110.2114.4104.5
season14.715.7104.7101.7
opponent15.015.1105.6106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC12.413.714.413.613.5
CHA15.817.015.016.416.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Corliss Williamson25230.15-0.650.810.073-6913.713.40.2416.615.90.73
Kevin Martin73720.15-0.650.800.063-6913.713.00.6716.415.01.36
Kenny Thomas31310.11-0.610.71-0.014-71113.613.40.2117.515.42.11
Shareef Abdur-Rahim50500.05-0.550.60-0.043-6914.412.61.7615.916.2-0.31
Mike Bibby6464-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-71113.513.6-0.0916.116.00.12
Francisco Garcia3329-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.453-6913.313.6-0.2516.815.71.06
John Salmons5453-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.31-41-513.313.7-0.3716.215.90.30
Ronnie Price910-0.550.05-0.59-0.37-63-912.013.7-1.6515.716.1-0.39
Brad Miller7273-0.760.26-1.02-0.44-118-1913.014.8-1.7315.218.6-3.42
Metta World Peace7980-0.860.36-1.22-0.45-1411-2513.513.6-0.1015.518.5-2.93

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Raymond Felton57580.80-0.301.100.5110-71714.218.7-4.5513.413.7-0.34
Matt Carroll58590.71-0.210.920.3911-81916.016.1-0.0413.912.90.92
Walter Herrmann24250.69-0.190.890.6030316.615.90.7113.213.6-0.46
Derek Anderson54540.68-0.180.850.448-51315.217.1-1.9513.713.30.37
Sean May65640.61-0.110.710.465-2716.016.2-0.2014.112.41.71
Adam Morrison3837-0.010.51-0.520.08-36-915.516.4-0.9112.414.2-1.76
Jake Voskuhl4343-0.100.60-0.70-0.01-36-916.615.60.9512.614.2-1.68
Primoz Brezec4951-0.280.78-1.06-0.25-14-516.615.51.0113.313.7-0.35
Gerald Wallace5759-0.300.80-1.09-0.06-811-1916.315.70.5614.012.71.26
Jeff McInnis4040-0.300.80-1.10-0.10-710-1718.714.24.5513.713.40.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.27,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 90, LAL 930.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.27,191.6%
CHH 84, DAL 860.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.56,0.45,0.24,0.27,191.1%
DAL 95, NJN 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.27,0.36,0.19,0.33,0.19,0.16,0.43,0.42,191.0%