NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	108		Excitement	9.9 [77]		MVP	Sean May (CHA): +37.5%
Charlotte Bobcats	111		Comeback	11.6 [147]		LVP	Primoz Brezec (CHA): -14.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.13	-0.00	8	78%	0.26	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Martin	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	15	62%	0.17	1	-0.04	12	83%	0.04
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.08	0.00	9	44%	0.09	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Brad Miller	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	7	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.03	-0.03	0.07	0.00	14	58%	0.40	6	-0.37	8	62%	-0.05
Mike Bibby	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	9	65%	0.08	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ronnie Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean May	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,0.38	0.38	0.07	0.32	0.02	17	59%	0.47	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.14	0.13	0.01	14	79%	0.31	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.08	0.00	4	125%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.1,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.12	-0.00	8	67%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	14	44%	0.05	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.06
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	13	46%	-0.00	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	7	33%	-0.12	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	30.1	15.5	25.2	2.0	37.7	138.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +9.8%

SAC -14.7%

CHA +29.9%

CHA +24.2%

CHA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHA	NBA	SAC	CHA	NBA
this game	13.5	16.1	15.4	110.2	114.4	104.5
season	14.7	15.7		104.7	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.1		105.6	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.4	13.7	14.4	13.6	13.5
CHA	15.8	17.0	15.0	16.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	25	23	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.07	3	-6	9	13.7	13.4	0.24	16.6	15.9	0.73
Kevin Martin	73	72	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.06	3	-6	9	13.7	13.0	0.67	16.4	15.0	1.36
Kenny Thomas	31	31	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.01	4	-7	11	13.6	13.4	0.21	17.5	15.4	2.11
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	50	50	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-6	9	14.4	12.6	1.76	15.9	16.2	-0.31
Mike Bibby	64	64	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-7	11	13.5	13.6	-0.09	16.1	16.0	0.12
Francisco Garcia	33	29	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.45	3	-6	9	13.3	13.6	-0.25	16.8	15.7	1.06
John Salmons	54	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	1	-5	13.3	13.7	-0.37	16.2	15.9	0.30
Ronnie Price	9	10	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.37	-6	3	-9	12.0	13.7	-1.65	15.7	16.1	-0.39
Brad Miller	72	73	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.44	-11	8	-19	13.0	14.8	-1.73	15.2	18.6	-3.42
Metta World Peace	79	80	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.45	-14	11	-25	13.5	13.6	-0.10	15.5	18.5	-2.93

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	57	58	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.51	10	-7	17	14.2	18.7	-4.55	13.4	13.7	-0.34
Matt Carroll	58	59	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.39	11	-8	19	16.0	16.1	-0.04	13.9	12.9	0.92
Walter Herrmann	24	25	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.60	3	0	3	16.6	15.9	0.71	13.2	13.6	-0.46
Derek Anderson	54	54	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.44	8	-5	13	15.2	17.1	-1.95	13.7	13.3	0.37
Sean May	65	64	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.46	5	-2	7	16.0	16.2	-0.20	14.1	12.4	1.71
Adam Morrison	38	37	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	6	-9	15.5	16.4	-0.91	12.4	14.2	-1.76
Jake Voskuhl	43	43	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	6	-9	16.6	15.6	0.95	12.6	14.2	-1.68
Primoz Brezec	49	51	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.25	-1	4	-5	16.6	15.5	1.01	13.3	13.7	-0.35
Gerald Wallace	57	59	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.06	-8	11	-19	16.3	15.7	0.56	14.0	12.7	1.26
Jeff McInnis	40	40	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.10	-7	10	-17	18.7	14.2	4.55	13.7	13.4	0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 90, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.27,1	91.6%
CHH 84, DAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.56,0.45,0.24,0.27,1	91.1%
DAL 95, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.27,0.36,0.19,0.33,0.19,0.16,0.43,0.42,1	91.0%