NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	95		Excitement	8.5 [173]		MVP	Cedric Ceballos (DAL): +27.6%
New Jersey Nets	98		Comeback	8.0 [188]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -12.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Ceballos	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.37,0.28	0.15	0.13	-0.00	26	65%	0.34	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Shawn Bradley	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	6	71%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	11	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,-0.03	0.11	-0.14	0.00	7	87%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Gary Trent	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.24,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.00	-0.03	18	28%	-0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,0.16	0.16	-0.08	0.23	-0.01	15	53%	0.27	4	-0.11	8	75%	0.01
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.06	0.04	15	66%	0.13	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	10	60%	0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	58%	-0.00	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,0.08,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.03	-0.01	14	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	60%	-0.01	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	8	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	24.8	15.0	24.3	1.6	29.6	122.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -0.1%

NJN +35.5%

NJN +4.5%

NJN +13.8%

DAL -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NJN	NBA	DAL	NJN	NBA
this game	16.0	14.2	15.2	101.1	101.0	101.7
season	14.8	15.5		104.2	102.1
opponent	14.7	14.8		103.3	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.2	15.2	14.3	21.5	16.0
NJN	13.0	15.5	12.9	16.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	52	55	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.15	0	-3	3	15.7	16.4	-0.70	14.1	14.3	-0.16
Erick Strickland	43	45	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.20	-3	0	-3	15.5	16.4	-0.88	13.9	14.5	-0.53
Gary Trent	21	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-1	-1	15.1	16.2	-1.06	11.4	15.0	-3.56
Damon Jones	25	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-3	3	15.6	16.1	-0.50	13.8	14.4	-0.56
Steve Nash	12	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	2	-7	15.7	16.0	-0.25	14.7	14.2	0.51
Cedric Ceballos	73	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.45	3	-6	9	15.5	17.4	-1.88	14.6	13.0	1.63
Dirk Nowitzki	72	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.49	2	-5	7	15.8	16.4	-0.52	14.2	14.4	-0.25
Greg Buckner	45	45	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.56	4	-7	11	16.4	15.6	0.83	14.9	13.7	1.21
Michael Finley	74	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.40	-6	3	-9	16.1	15.5	0.53	14.3	13.9	0.40
Hubert Davis	53	54	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.45	-8	5	-13	17.4	14.1	3.36	14.6	13.7	0.89

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Burrell	53	52	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.50	8	-5	13	12.6	16.2	-3.60	14.7	17.5	-2.73
Johnny Newman	42	40	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.55	6	-3	9	15.1	13.6	1.51	16.7	15.4	1.36
Kendall Gill	74	72	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.49	4	-1	5	14.1	14.7	-0.69	15.7	16.7	-0.93
Kerry Kittles	56	53	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.49	4	-1	5	13.8	14.8	-0.93	16.5	15.3	1.24
Stephon Marbury	86	84	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.38	7	-4	11	13.8	17.5	-3.65	15.9	16.3	-0.37
Evan Eschmeyer	5	5	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.04	0	3	-3	10.4	14.4	-4.02	15.4	16.0	-0.60
Elliot Perry	11	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	7	-11	17.5	13.8	3.65	16.3	15.9	0.37
Lucious Harris	41	41	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.08	-1	4	-5	14.8	13.8	0.93	15.3	16.5	-1.24
Keith Van Horn	40	39	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.15	-1	4	-5	15.1	13.6	1.46	17.3	15.0	2.29
Jamie Feick	77	74	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.11	-8	11	-19	14.8	11.8	2.98	15.9	16.0	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.27,0.36,0.19,0.33,0.19,0.16,0.43,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 82, BOS 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.53,1	91.4%
CHA 99, CLE 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.3,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.37,0.45,0.34,0.46,0.32,0.15,0.33,0.42,1	91.0%
SAC 108, CHA 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.27,1	91.0%