NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	99		Excitement	10.1 [64]		MVP	Marvin Williams (CHA): +23.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Comeback	6.3 [282]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -60.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.07	-0.00	9	85%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.08	0.01	15	50%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Dwayne Bacon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	10	48%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.08
Malik Monk	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.11	0.00	14	54%	-0.01	3	-0.09	9	67%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.45	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.45	-0.09	-0.35	0.00	15	33%	-0.41	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.03
Kemba Walker	-0.60	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.6	-0.13	-0.46	0.01	21	33%	-0.54	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.07

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.07,-0.05,0.1,0.19,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	20	57%	0.26	3	-0.16	7	57%	-0.03
JR Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	13	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.09
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.05	0.00	11	54%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cedi Osman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.07	0.01	11	55%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.05	-0.11	0.01	6	69%	0.09	1	-0.16	4	100%	0.03
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	11	45%	0.00	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	23.8	14.5	25.3	2.4	35.4	126.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +109.7%

CLE +2.5%

CHA -41.4%

CHA -31.6%

CLE +10.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CLE	NBA	CHA	CLE	NBA
this game	15.2	14.2	14.7	100.0	103.1	107.5
season	14.6	14.8		108.7	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.5		110.6	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.0	16.3	14.6	16.1	15.2
CLE	13.7	14.3	15.4	13.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwayne Bacon	21	21	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-2	3	14.9	15.3	-0.46	13.4	14.4	-0.99
Michael Carter-Williams	42	40	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.11	-4	3	-7	16.2	14.5	1.72	13.3	14.7	-1.37
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	75	73	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-6	11	15.4	14.7	0.73	14.5	13.0	1.59
Cody Zeller	48	46	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	1	-3	15.6	14.8	0.82	13.9	14.4	-0.42
Malik Monk	7	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	1	-3	15.6	15.2	0.38	14.1	14.2	-0.01
Marvin Williams	58	59	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.43	6	-7	13	14.7	16.0	-1.33	14.6	13.5	1.12
Dwight Howard	63	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.53	4	-5	9	15.3	15.1	0.13	14.4	13.7	0.64
Jeremy Lamb	74	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	1	-3	14.4	17.8	-3.45	14.2	13.9	0.37
Frank Kaminsky	30	29	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.33	-8	7	-15	15.6	15.1	0.49	13.1	14.6	-1.45
Kemba Walker	77	76	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.61	-3	2	-5	15.4	14.6	0.75	14.3	13.6	0.74

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	51	54	0.96	-0.46	1.43	0.55	14	-13	27	12.6	15.9	-3.30	15.1	15.4	-0.29
Kyle Korver	54	55	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.47	12	-11	23	12.6	16.0	-3.40	15.3	15.1	0.15
JR Smith	74	74	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.50	4	-3	7	14.2	14.1	0.03	14.8	16.5	-1.74
LeBron James	80	82	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.48	-2	3	-5	14.1	14.4	-0.24	15.2	15.5	-0.30
Channing Frye	40	41	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	-11	23	12.8	15.1	-2.26	15.3	15.2	0.08
Kevin Love	61	62	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.44	-11	12	-23	15.3	12.2	3.03	15.4	14.9	0.44
Jeff Green	32	34	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	-3	7	13.2	14.6	-1.35	15.9	14.9	1.05
Jose Calderon	39	39	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.02	-13	14	-27	16.7	12.4	4.29	15.2	15.2	-0.03
Jae Crowder	54	54	-0.65	1.15	-1.81	-0.21	-15	16	-31	15.6	12.3	3.24	15.3	15.1	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.3,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.37,0.45,0.34,0.46,0.32,0.15,0.33,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.42,1	92.0%
IND 110, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.17,1	92.0%
SAS 70, MIN 74	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.44,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.58,1	91.5%