inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 70 Excitement8.6 [99] MVPMario Elie (SAS): +16.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves 74 Comeback3.0 [192] LVPAvery Johnson (SAS): -35.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Elie0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.170.060.100.00485%0.1700.00560%0.02
Gerard King0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steve Kerr-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jaren Jackson-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.030.00955%0.012-0.062100%0.01
Antonio Daniels-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jerome Kersey-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.030.00729%-0.041-0.0500%0.00
Sean Elliott-0.140,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14-0.09-0.06-0.011038%-0.053-0.091100%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.230,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.19,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.20-0.05-0.021027%-0.182-0.051040%-0.08
David Robinson-0.290,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.19,-0.290.00-0.280.021167%-0.014-0.282100%0.01
Avery Johnson-0.360,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.36-0.11-0.25-0.011443%-0.025-0.3300%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bill Curley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Chris Carr0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Malik Sealy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01-0.010.04-0.040.001362%0.072-0.0800%0.00
Dean Garrett0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tom Hammonds0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Sam Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.00550%-0.0200.00475%-0.01
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00650%0.021-0.0500%0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.25-0.25-0.08-0.170.001035%-0.2500.00650%-0.06
Stephon Marbury0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.37,-0.37,-0.38,-0.3-0.30-0.21-0.10-0.011929%-0.143-0.1640%-0.11
Kevin Garnett0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.35,-0.35,-0.45,-0.32,-0.32-0.32-0.22-0.12-0.022524%-0.192-0.1300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.71.824.015.827.02.037.0131.2
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS -16.0%
SAS -23.1%
MIN +31.9%
MIN +62.5%
SAS -5.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMINNBASASMINNBA
this game16.715.115.875.384.199.6
season15.915.0101.198.6
opponent15.915.998.692.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.920.615.113.716.7
MIN12.914.316.317.115.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gerard King660.04-0.540.570.040-4417.016.60.3711.715.4-3.71
Jaren Jackson5151-0.01-0.490.480.05-2-2017.315.91.4614.316.2-1.93
Jerome Kersey3331-0.05-0.450.390.06-40-420.314.65.6515.215.10.16
Antonio Daniels77-0.09-0.410.32-0.00-3-1-228.415.712.7312.915.3-2.46
Steve Kerr3533-0.24-0.260.02-0.15-3-1-217.616.11.4714.315.6-1.27
Avery Johnson7570-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.403-71015.720.8-5.1115.413.91.55
Sean Elliott6864-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.381-5614.821.7-6.8715.215.00.17
David Robinson6661-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.440-4415.619.3-3.7715.813.62.16
Mario Elie4339-0.500.00-0.51-0.27-84-1217.915.62.2416.613.92.68
Tim Duncan8178-0.550.05-0.59-0.43-40-416.020.8-4.8014.817.4-2.57

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Smith51550.66-0.160.810.3610-61616.213.62.5515.218.8-3.61
Kevin Garnett80850.54-0.040.590.347-31014.818.7-3.9916.814.91.95
Malik Sealy58620.54-0.040.570.4240416.213.13.0216.317.3-0.95
Sam Mitchell42430.440.060.380.47-15-615.414.90.5414.918.2-3.25
Stephon Marbury72770.260.240.030.38-48-1214.716.9-2.2215.223.7-8.57
Bobby Jackson28280.150.35-0.19-0.026-2815.415.00.3419.915.34.63
Chris Carr31340.130.37-0.25-0.056-2814.215.6-1.3920.314.65.73
Dean Garrett37390.020.48-0.45-0.0422014.715.4-0.6818.115.62.49
Bill Curley1920-0.050.55-0.600.01-26-813.715.5-1.8417.016.50.50
Tom Hammonds2222-0.190.69-0.890.04-812-2014.915.2-0.2916.516.7-0.20


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.44,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 120, PHI 1220.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.1,0.04,0.58,191.7%
CHA 99, CLE 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.3,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.37,0.45,0.34,0.46,0.32,0.15,0.33,0.42,191.5%
MIN 95, LAL 1010.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.58,191.1%