NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	98		Excitement	9.3 [86]		MVP	John Salmons (SAC): +26.7%
Sacramento Kings	99		Comeback	11.9 [118]		LVP	Trevor Ariza (NOH): -19.6%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.10	0.02	17	69%	0.29	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.02
Lance Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.13	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	14	55%	0.14	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Xavier Henry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	59%	0.08	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Solomon Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	16	33%	-0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.26,-0.2	0.03	-0.22	0.00	16	61%	0.04	3	-0.24	1	100%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.27	0.27	0.01	0.26	0.00	9	60%	0.38	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.25,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.10	-0.04	21	51%	0.20	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.03
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	10	55%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	5	100%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	63%	0.14	4	-0.13	9	67%	-0.03
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.11	-0.00	10	65%	0.02	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	27.5	15.6	27.1	2.4	30.3	129.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +29.3%

NOH -3.2%

NOH -19.6%

SAC +46.1%

NOH -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	SAC	NBA	NOH	SAC	NBA
this game	16.2	15.3	15.6	107.7	107.6	102.8
season	16.3	14.9		99.2	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.7		107.9	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	18.1	14.0	15.0	17.8	16.2
SAC	13.2	17.3	13.8	17.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Thomas	49	50	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.04	3	-4	7	17.5	14.6	2.87	15.1	15.5	-0.34
Al-Farouq Aminu	27	27	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-2	3	16.6	16.0	0.58	17.8	14.3	3.52
Xavier Henry	25	28	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-5	9	16.2	16.2	-0.04	17.6	14.3	3.33
Solomon Jones	21	22	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-1	1	17.0	15.9	1.06	14.9	15.4	-0.56
Trevor Ariza	69	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.51	2	-3	5	16.2	16.0	0.19	14.5	17.8	-3.26
Chris Kaman	88	89	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.48	0	-1	1	16.1	19.0	-2.91	15.2	18.7	-3.49
Jarrett Jack	66	64	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.39	-5	4	-9	16.2	16.2	0.04	14.3	17.6	-3.33
Marco Belinelli	64	62	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.43	-6	5	-11	15.8	17.2	-1.42	16.0	13.9	2.07
Greivis Vasquez	46	47	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.53	-4	3	-7	14.9	17.5	-2.66	14.7	15.9	-1.25

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	32	34	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.69	8	-7	15	14.1	15.9	-1.84	16.3	16.1	0.22
Jason Thompson	65	62	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.67	4	-3	7	13.8	18.9	-5.14	16.1	16.4	-0.28
John Salmons	48	48	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.53	6	-5	11	16.9	13.6	3.31	15.7	16.7	-0.92
Marcus Thornton	70	69	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.48	3	-2	5	14.1	19.0	-4.81	16.2	16.3	-0.11
Tyreke Evans	59	58	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.49	1	0	1	14.4	17.0	-2.61	16.4	15.8	0.53
Charles Hayes	45	48	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.08	4	-3	7	16.0	14.6	1.47	18.1	14.1	3.97
Travis Outlaw	14	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	5	-9	19.0	14.6	4.37	15.2	16.3	-1.12
Hassan Whiteside	15	13	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	7	-13	17.8	14.8	2.99	15.2	16.3	-1.12
Donte Greene	32	31	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	3	-5	14.5	15.7	-1.26	15.0	16.8	-1.85
Francisco Garcia	25	25	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.18	-4	5	-9	19.4	13.8	5.58	17.7	15.6	2.11
Jimmer Fredette	55	54	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.26	-5	6	-11	15.3	15.4	-0.10	15.2	17.6	-2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.16,0.17,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 84, DAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.56,0.45,0.24,0.27,1	91.2%
PHI 100, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.53,0.39,0.45,0.32,0.28,1	90.6%
HOU 98, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.28,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.42,1	90.4%