NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	98		Excitement	10.5 [44]		MVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): +40.2%
Sacramento Kings	99		Comeback	3.5 [275]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -50.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.08,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.11	0.01	9	71%	0.26	2	-0.06	10	100%	0.15
Shane Battier	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18	-0.01	0.19	-0.00	8	50%	0.24	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.09
Dikembe Mutombo	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	79%	0.14	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.05
Carl Landry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	7	43%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	6	17%	-0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.19	-0.04	-0.15	0.00	13	46%	0.04	3	-0.23	9	67%	-0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.50	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.5	-0.08	-0.40	0.02	31	46%	-0.31	5	-0.19	8	87%	0.05

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.4	0.40	0.11	0.30	-0.00	14	69%	0.47	3	-0.07	11	91%	0.14
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.05,0.08,0.07,0.29,0.18	0.18	-0.01	0.21	0.02	26	52%	0.39	4	-0.21	6	33%	-0.12
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	53%	0.05	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.05
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.11	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.01	6	65%	0.07	2	-0.09	5	60%	-0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.08	0.00	6	17%	-0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.4	26.2	15.7	30.2	2.6	37.4	142.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +108.9%

HOU -20.7%

HOU -59.8%

SAC +8.7%

SAC +13.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	16.3	14.5	15.4	103.2	107.6	105.7
season	16.2	14.9		104.6	105.6
opponent	15.0	15.2		108.0	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.2	16.0	14.6	18.5	16.3
SAC	13.1	16.8	14.2	14.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	42	42	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.01	7	-8	15	16.0	16.5	-0.49	14.1	14.9	-0.79
Luther Head	16	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-2	3	15.3	16.5	-1.16	16.2	14.1	2.12
Bobby Jackson	21	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	1	-3	18.4	15.7	2.77	16.2	14.0	2.27
Carl Landry	31	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	3	-7	17.1	15.9	1.17	15.1	14.2	0.94
Rafer Alston	74	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.49	1	-2	3	15.7	18.4	-2.77	14.0	16.2	-2.27
Tracy McGrady	88	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.47	0	-1	1	16.3	15.9	0.45	14.1	19.9	-5.80
Charles Hayes	49	46	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	3	-7	15.4	17.2	-1.83	15.5	13.5	2.00
Shane Battier	86	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	2	-5	16.4	14.9	1.53	14.6	13.4	1.17
Luis Scola	68	66	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.52	-1	0	-1	16.7	15.1	1.57	13.8	16.3	-2.52

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	46	47	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.41	14	-13	27	14.0	15.0	-0.91	17.0	15.6	1.44
Francisco Garcia	59	62	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.41	6	-5	11	14.8	13.9	0.87	16.6	15.7	0.93
Metta World Peace	80	84	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.51	-1	2	-3	14.8	12.7	2.11	15.7	20.5	-4.73
Mikki Moore	64	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.48	-3	4	-7	14.3	15.0	-0.67	15.9	17.3	-1.37
Kevin Martin	81	83	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.39	-1	2	-3	14.5	14.8	-0.36	16.6	13.8	2.79
Brad Miller	43	43	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	-1	3	15.3	13.8	1.59	16.4	16.2	0.18
Lorenzen Wright	5	4	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	0	1	10.2	14.7	-4.55	24.5	15.9	8.59
Quincy Douby	11	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	3	-5	14.3	14.5	-0.26	14.8	16.5	-1.65
Anthony Johnson	25	26	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	7	-13	13.2	15.0	-1.79	15.6	16.5	-0.91
John Salmons	46	46	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	6	-11	14.9	14.1	0.74	15.9	16.6	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.28,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 81, MIA 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.42,1	91.7%
NYK 90, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.42,1	91.5%
MIN 95, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.58,1	91.4%