NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	90		Excitement	8.3 [200]		MVP	Michael Redd (MIL): +26.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	94		Comeback	6.9 [218]		LVP	Ray Allen (MIL): -31.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.05	0.01	8	81%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.11	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	87%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	12	53%	0.05	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.06
Othella Harrington	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Allan Houston	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11	0.00	-0.10	0.01	17	50%	-0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.11,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	16	36%	-0.02	2	-0.10	4	75%	0.03
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.21	-0.06	-0.15	0.00	7	44%	0.03	2	-0.24	2	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.12	0.00	8	91%	0.32	1	-0.05	7	86%	0.04
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.11	0.02	9	89%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.2,-0.24,0.11	0.11	-0.05	0.16	0.00	17	56%	0.25	4	-0.14	11	73%	-0.03
Marcus Haislip	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	4	20%	-0.09	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.07
Tim Thomas	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	16	44%	-0.00	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.28,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.12	-0.19	0.01	16	28%	-0.32	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	25.6	15.5	21.2	1.8	33.2	121.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +9.8%

MIL +6.3%

MIL +0.8%

MIL +37.4%

NYK -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	16.4	16.0	15.5	100.0	106.8	101.6
season	15.6	15.4		102.6	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		106.5	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.9	15.0	17.4	16.4	16.4
MIL	14.3	15.7	20.5	14.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	44	42	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.00	7	-11	18	16.8	16.0	0.77	17.9	14.3	3.60
Michael Doleac	27	26	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-7	10	15.6	16.7	-1.07	18.2	15.0	3.14
Shandon Anderson	41	40	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.08	1	-5	6	16.0	16.7	-0.65	14.7	17.0	-2.34
Othella Harrington	48	45	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-6	8	16.7	16.0	0.71	16.5	15.4	1.14
Clar. Weatherspoon	41	42	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	0	-4	16.1	16.6	-0.47	15.7	16.2	-0.50
Latrell Sprewell	74	72	-0.52	0.01	-0.53	-0.43	-3	-1	-2	17.1	12.9	4.18	16.1	15.4	0.74
Kurt Thomas	63	62	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.41	-7	3	-10	16.7	15.6	1.07	15.0	18.2	-3.14
Allan Houston	66	65	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.42	-8	4	-12	15.7	18.3	-2.61	16.4	14.8	1.62
Charlie Ward	46	46	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.38	-11	7	-18	16.0	16.8	-0.77	14.3	17.9	-3.60

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Mason	62	64	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.42	13	-9	22	15.8	16.5	-0.69	17.0	14.8	2.26
Joel Przybilla	61	60	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-7	18	15.7	16.7	-1.05	17.0	15.1	1.87
Sam Cassell	69	72	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.39	7	-3	10	15.2	18.6	-3.39	16.1	17.4	-1.26
Michael Redd	60	61	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.36	7	-3	10	15.3	17.4	-2.13	16.7	15.7	1.07
Ray Allen	67	69	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.40	2	2	0	16.1	15.7	0.41	17.0	14.4	2.54
Kevin Ollie	35	34	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.02	2	2	0	16.2	15.8	0.42	16.0	16.6	-0.61
Marcus Haislip	0	1	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	4	-4	0.0	16.0	-15.98	6.0	16.5	-10.49
Dan Gadzuric	32	34	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.07	-10	14	-24	17.7	15.0	2.69	15.3	17.0	-1.74
Tim Thomas	54	55	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.01	-12	16	-28	17.0	14.4	2.55	15.2	18.2	-2.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 109, LAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.34,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.42,1	92.7%
NYK 81, MIA 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.42,1	91.8%
HOU 98, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.28,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.42,1	91.5%