NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	100		Excitement	9.6 [90]		MVP	Sergio Rodriguez (PHI): +43.5%
Sacramento Kings	102		Comeback	4.5 [448]		LVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): -23.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sergio Rodriguez	0.43	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.34,0.34,0.43	0.15	0.29	-0.00	9	100%	0.48	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.18	0.10	0.09	0.01	12	65%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Dario Saric	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.10	-0.00	11	55%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	4	33%	0.00	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Robert Covington	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	36%	0.01	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Nik Stauskas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.23	-0.05	-0.18	-0.01	17	58%	0.09	8	-0.32	9	89%	0.05

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.06,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.4	0.40	0.06	0.36	0.01	20	61%	0.62	5	-0.22	9	89%	0.06
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.28	0.28	-0.01	0.28	-0.00	4	50%	0.30	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	7	56%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	60%	0.13	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.04
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.01	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	10	45%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	16	50%	0.06	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	28.2	15.3	26.4	2.4	40.3	140.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +0.8%

SAC +14.7%

SAC +21.8%

SAC +11.2%

SAC +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAC	NBA	PHI	SAC	NBA
this game	13.2	15.8	14.8	100.0	103.0	107.7
season	14.5	15.4		101.9	106.0
opponent	14.6	14.4		110.0	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.9	13.7	13.2	11.9	13.2
SAC	15.5	15.2	15.6	16.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sergio Rodriguez	51	49	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.01	4	-6	10	13.8	12.6	1.21	16.6	15.0	1.51
Gerald Henderson	53	52	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	2	-6	13.9	12.3	1.61	15.5	16.1	-0.53
Nerlens Noel	8	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	2	-6	13.1	13.2	-0.05	15.4	15.8	-0.39
Dario Saric	58	57	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-6	10	12.1	14.6	-2.54	15.4	16.3	-0.86
Joel Embiid	59	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-5	8	13.3	12.9	0.41	16.2	15.2	0.90
Nik Stauskas	40	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	1	-4	12.9	13.3	-0.37	15.0	16.4	-1.43
Ersan Ilyasova	67	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.58	11	-13	24	12.6	14.3	-1.65	16.2	14.9	1.32
Jahlil Okafor	39	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	7	-16	13.9	12.7	1.15	15.7	15.8	-0.15
T.J. McConnell	49	50	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.45	-6	4	-10	12.6	13.8	-1.21	15.0	16.6	-1.51
Robert Covington	76	74	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.49	-6	4	-10	13.6	11.9	1.65	16.1	14.8	1.27

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	61	63	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.63	8	-6	14	15.4	16.4	-0.94	12.5	14.4	-1.88
Rudy Gay	72	70	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.47	8	-6	14	16.4	14.1	2.25	13.7	12.0	1.72
Kosta Koufos	31	31	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.09	20	-18	38	15.2	16.1	-0.87	14.7	12.5	2.28
Omri Casspi	25	27	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.36	2	0	2	16.4	15.6	0.87	13.2	13.2	0.02
Ty Lawson	44	46	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.16	4	-2	6	15.1	16.3	-1.25	12.5	13.8	-1.32
Darren Collison	56	56	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.37	-4	6	-10	16.1	15.4	0.65	13.5	12.7	0.79
DeMarcus Cousins	69	69	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.33	-11	13	-24	16.6	14.0	2.61	13.0	13.5	-0.55
Ben McLemore	34	33	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	6	-10	16.0	15.7	0.32	14.7	12.4	2.23
Anthony Tolliver	47	48	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.18	3	-1	4	15.8	15.7	0.08	12.3	14.0	-1.73
Willie Cauley-Stein	27	28	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.01	-9	11	-20	14.4	16.3	-1.95	13.4	13.1	0.31
Matt Barnes	29	29	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.07	-7	9	-16	14.7	16.2	-1.50	12.2	13.6	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.53,0.39,0.45,0.32,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 98, POR 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.6,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.09,1	92.0%
BOS 91, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.66,0.6,0.47,0.45,0.33,0.16,1	91.1%
NOH 98, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.16,0.17,1	90.6%