NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	98		Excitement	9.5 [95]		MVP	Noah Vonleh (POR): +79.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	99		Comeback	17.8 [65]		LVP	Jake Layman (POR): -27.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathon Simmons	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.19,0.16	0.02	0.14	0.00	6	47%	0.16	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.06
Kawhi Leonard	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.04	0.02	11	78%	0.18	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.02	7	75%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	8	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	7	79%	0.15	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.06	-0.03	4	37%	0.17	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	5	50%	0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	32%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	4	30%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Davis Bertans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	6	43%	0.08	2	-0.16	2	100%	0.05
David Lee	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	6	39%	-0.03	2	-0.09	6	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.79	0.79	0.07	0.73	0.00	9	67%	0.79	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.13	0.21	0.01	20	63%	0.56	4	-0.24	11	91%	0.10
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	10	75%	0.18	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.05	0.01	7	93%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	17	46%	0.08	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Tim Quarterman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	18%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	7	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jake Layman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.18	-0.10	-0.00	15	13%	-0.20	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	25.8	14.8	23.8	1.8	40.7	131.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +41.5%

POR +7.6%

SAS -17.1%

POR +14.4%

POR +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	POR	NBA	SAS	POR	NBA
this game	15.5	15.6	14.8	105.4	107.6	107.7
season	15.4	14.9		110.1	108.6
opponent	14.5	14.8		109.8	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.1	13.9	16.2	16.2	15.5
POR	19.0	14.9	15.1	13.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	37	38	0.42	-0.92	1.34	-0.02	15	-16	31	14.1	16.5	-2.42	14.7	16.3	-1.60
Patty Mills	33	34	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.04	9	-10	19	14.4	16.2	-1.77	13.9	16.6	-2.63
Manu Ginobili	33	34	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.01	6	-7	13	14.4	16.2	-1.77	13.9	16.6	-2.63
Danny Green	35	35	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.04	-1	0	-1	16.2	15.2	1.02	18.4	13.9	4.57
Kawhi Leonard	35	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	1	-3	16.7	14.9	1.80	18.0	14.2	3.76
Tony Parker	35	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.10	-4	3	-7	16.2	15.2	1.02	18.4	13.9	4.57
LaMarcus Aldridge	31	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	8	-17	16.8	14.9	1.85	18.1	14.3	3.78
David Lee	59	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.59	12	-13	25	14.3	17.8	-3.51	14.7	17.0	-2.31
Davis Bertans	25	24	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	8	-17	17.1	15.0	2.11	16.5	15.3	1.28
Kyle Anderson	50	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.48	6	-7	13	14.5	16.8	-2.33	14.1	17.6	-3.50
Bryn Forbes	25	23	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.53	-6	5	-11	16.2	15.3	0.85	13.7	16.2	-2.48
Jonathon Simmons	25	23	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.53	-6	5	-11	16.2	15.3	0.85	13.7	16.2	-2.48
Dewayne Dedmon	42	39	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.41	-16	15	-31	17.1	14.2	2.93	15.2	15.9	-0.77

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Meyers Leonard	64	64	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.44	9	-8	17	15.9	15.0	0.86	15.2	16.2	-0.97
Pat Connaughton	65	68	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.46	8	-7	15	16.1	14.4	1.68	15.9	14.6	1.34
Shabazz Napier	67	68	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.48	5	-4	9	16.4	13.5	2.91	15.9	14.7	1.17
Jake Layman	60	60	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.56	-3	4	-7	14.4	17.8	-3.40	14.9	16.7	-1.75
Noah Vonleh	69	71	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.53	-2	3	-5	16.1	14.2	1.84	16.2	13.4	2.85
Evan Turner	57	56	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.11	-1	2	-3	15.6	15.5	0.09	15.2	16.0	-0.72
Tim Quarterman	27	27	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.02	-6	7	-13	15.0	15.8	-0.85	15.8	15.4	0.39
Al-Farouq Aminu	51	51	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.03	-5	6	-11	14.6	16.8	-2.13	15.0	16.2	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.6,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.09,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 100, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.53,0.39,0.45,0.32,0.28,1	92.0%
CHA 93, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.16,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.24,0.26,1	90.8%
CHA 98, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.16,1	90.4%