NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	80		Excitement	9.2 [100]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +72.0%
Miami Heat	81		Comeback	14.6 [155]		LVP	Michael Beasley (MIA): -28.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Williams	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.3	0.08	0.22	0.00	7	86%	0.36	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.25	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,0.25	-0.06	0.31	-0.00	18	45%	0.35	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.12	-0.00	10	62%	0.22	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Trenton Hassell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	12	55%	0.08	1	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Eduardo Najera	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Rafer Alston	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.09,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	11	33%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.72	0.72	0.02	0.72	0.02	17	54%	0.79	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.36	0.36	0.11	0.26	0.02	8	81%	0.36	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.24,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.13	0.22	0.02	20	64%	0.35	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.08
James Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	10	32%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Beasley	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.28	-0.28	-0.16	-0.18	-0.06	17	19%	-0.28	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.6	30.4	15.7	27.3	2.0	32.4	133.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +11.2%

MIA +4.8%

MIA +23.6%

MIA +16.2%

NJN -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIA	NBA	NJN	MIA	NBA
this game	17.9	17.2	15.3	98.8	97.6	106.0
season	15.9	16.2		98.7	104.4
opponent	15.4	15.0		102.8	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.7	18.0	18.0	17.9	17.9
MIA	15.0	17.1	17.1	19.9	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eduardo Najera	23	26	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.02	4	-5	9	16.9	18.3	-1.44	17.5	17.1	0.45
Terrence Williams	48	51	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.09	6	-7	13	17.6	18.3	-0.73	15.6	19.8	-4.15
Josh Boone	46	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	4	-9	18.2	17.5	0.73	16.0	18.8	-2.74
Chris Douglas-Roberts	60	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.43	4	-5	9	17.6	18.6	-0.97	17.5	16.5	1.05
Sean Williams	24	24	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.46	3	-4	7	17.7	18.0	-0.33	18.9	16.6	2.32
Trenton Hassell	73	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.58	3	-4	7	18.1	16.1	1.97	17.4	16.0	1.38
Brook Lopez	70	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.38	-7	6	-13	18.1	16.4	1.78	17.9	14.0	3.88
Rafer Alston	61	63	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.40	-13	12	-25	18.1	17.2	0.86	17.5	16.4	1.09

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Beasley	47	48	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.67	6	-5	11	18.6	15.4	3.15	18.2	17.4	0.80
Quentin Richardson	41	40	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.70	-1	2	-3	16.2	18.2	-2.04	17.3	18.5	-1.19
Dwyane Wade	72	71	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.43	7	-6	13	17.2	17.7	-0.57	18.0	17.0	1.03
Udonis Haslem	65	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	1	-1	17.4	16.5	0.93	17.7	18.4	-0.70
Carlos Arroyo	63	61	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.51	-3	4	-7	18.0	14.7	3.27	17.7	18.5	-0.86
Joel Anthony	56	55	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.27	10	-9	19	16.7	18.4	-1.69	18.6	16.5	2.06
Mario Chalmers	9	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	2	-3	13.7	17.7	-4.00	18.1	17.9	0.23
James Jones	4	3	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	0	1	12.5	17.5	-4.97	14.3	18.0	-3.71
Jamaal Magloire	10	9	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.09	-9	10	-19	14.6	17.6	-2.99	16.3	18.1	-1.76
Daequan Cook	48	45	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.15	-5	6	-11	17.8	16.4	1.43	18.1	17.7	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 109, LAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.34,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.42,1	92.3%
LAC 115, DEN 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.25,0.21,0.67,0.42,1	91.3%
NJN 86, WAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.4,0.61,0.36,0.23,0.28,1	91.0%