NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	115		Excitement	11.0 [48]		MVP	Randy Foye (DEN): +77.4%
Denver Nuggets	116		Comeback	6.9 [171]		LVP	Timofey Mozgov (DEN): -17.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.40	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.4,0.4	0.19	0.23	0.02	21	62%	0.40	0	0.00	16	62%	-0.09
Matt Barnes	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,0.36	-0.02	0.38	-0.00	10	50%	0.51	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29	0.07	0.22	-0.00	10	73%	0.38	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.06
Ryan Hollins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.01	0.09	-0.08	-0.00	8	76%	0.14	3	-0.13	9	89%	0.06
Willie Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	11	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	44%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Darren Collison	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	12	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.77	0.77	-0.05	0.80	-0.03	11	52%	0.85	4	-0.07	5	80%	-0.01
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.21	0.19	0.01	13	80%	0.41	1	-0.03	9	67%	0.05
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.02,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.12	-0.01	8	58%	0.19	0	0.00	8	87%	0.11
Quincy Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	6	56%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.05
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	19	59%	0.20	5	-0.20	8	75%	0.07
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	12	57%	0.06	3	-0.10	6	50%	-0.03
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	6	29%	-0.07	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	31.3	15.6	32.4	1.0	38.0	146.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -11.0%

DEN +30.1%

DEN +33.4%

LAC -5.8%

DEN +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	14.4	14.0	15.1	112.7	114.9	105.2
season	14.3	14.0		111.0	104.5
opponent	14.9	15.4		106.4	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.9	12.7	16.8	13.6	14.4
DEN	15.1	13.0	13.2	14.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	28	26	0.30	-0.80	1.10	-0.05	12	-13	25	13.0	14.9	-1.91	13.8	14.1	-0.25
Jared Dudley	36	34	0.26	-0.76	1.03	-0.09	12	-13	25	13.1	15.1	-1.96	14.3	13.8	0.50
Ryan Hollins	9	10	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-3	5	16.4	14.2	2.26	15.7	13.8	1.90
JJ Redick	63	64	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.26	-10	9	-19	14.8	13.7	1.03	13.8	14.4	-0.57
Hedo Turkoglu	27	26	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-2	3	13.1	14.8	-1.68	13.4	14.2	-0.82
Jamal Crawford	63	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.45	6	-7	13	13.6	15.6	-1.95	13.9	14.2	-0.35
Blake Griffin	78	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-1	1	14.7	13.3	1.43	14.3	12.9	1.45
Darren Collison	53	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.37	-7	6	-13	14.8	13.9	0.97	13.6	14.4	-0.78
Matt Barnes	66	67	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.38	-13	12	-25	15.1	13.1	1.96	13.8	14.3	-0.50
DeAndre Jordan	87	84	-1.07	0.57	-1.64	-0.84	-8	7	-15	14.7	12.7	1.93	14.2	12.9	1.33

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenneth Faried	67	68	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.39	15	-14	29	13.3	15.4	-2.10	14.6	13.9	0.66
Randy Foye	84	86	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.49	9	-8	17	14.0	13.8	0.27	14.6	13.0	1.64
Ty Lawson	95	96	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.37	10	-9	19	13.7	18.7	-4.97	14.4	13.5	0.94
JJ Hickson	72	75	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.41	8	-7	15	13.7	14.6	-0.88	14.6	13.7	0.97
Wilson Chandler	71	71	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.52	3	-2	5	13.7	14.6	-0.92	14.4	14.3	0.18
Darrell Arthur	30	28	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.07	-7	8	-15	14.2	13.9	0.30	13.2	14.8	-1.66
Quincy Miller	35	35	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.07	-4	5	-9	14.5	13.7	0.85	13.7	14.8	-1.10
Evan Fournier	18	18	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.10	-15	16	-31	15.3	13.7	1.63	14.1	14.5	-0.40
Timofey Mozgov	33	33	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	0.06	-14	15	-29	15.8	13.1	2.67	14.4	14.4	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.25,0.21,0.67,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 80, MIA 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.26,1	91.3%
CLE 102, ORL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.55,0.73,1	89.9%
SAS 91, SEA 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.67,0.85,1	89.8%